Route reliability record
HPN→MCO
White Plains to Orlando
- Flights
- 1,187
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Distance
- 972 mi
- Carriers
- 1
This route sits in the middle of the pack with a C. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 3 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 1,187 HPN to MCO flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.
Best time to fly HPN to MCO: a 11am–2pm departure, ideally on a Wednesday. Flights in that window arrived on time 85.3% of the time and Wednesday flights 83.4%, against 74.2% for the route overall.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
74.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,148 completed flights
Avg delay
80 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.94%
National rate is 1.81%
Best carrier
JetBlue
74.2% on time across 1,187 flights
These figures cover 1,187 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 11.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on HPN to MCO
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JetBlue Airways | 1,187 | 74.2% | 80 min | 1.94% | C |
Flight by flight
Flights on HPN to MCO
The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.
Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly White Plains to Orlando
Every airline on this route and on the routes between nearby airports, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time. 4 of the top 5 use a different airport at one end.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. EWR → MCONewark to Orlando | United Airlines | 78.0% | 79.4% | 1.82% | 5am–8am, Tue | UA 1900 17:29 |
| 2. JFK → MCONew York to Orlando | Delta Air Lines | 75.3% | 77.6% | 2.93% | 5am–8am, Tue | DL 2019 09:00 |
| 3. LGA → MCONew York to Orlando | Spirit Airlines | 74.0% | 77.8% | 4.90% | 5am–8am, Fri | — |
| 4. ISP → MCOIslip to Orlando | JetBlue Airways | 73.3% | 74.5% | 1.60% | 8am–11am, Tue | — |
| 5. HPN → MCOWhite Plains to Orlando | JetBlue Airways | 72.8% | 74.2% | 1.94% | 11am–2pm, Wed | B6 595 14:30 |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 27 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am87 flights83.7%
- 8am–11am273 flights83.9%
- 11am–2pm70 flights85.3%
- 2pm–5pm429 flights68.7%
- 5pm–8pm41 flights57.9%
- 8pm–5am287 flights69.6%
Scale runs 50% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 57.9% on time, against 85.3% for the 11am–2pm slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 429 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 35 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
December is the weak month at 56.9% on time, against 91.6% in September. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. September was the busiest month here, with 119 flights.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 83.4% on time and Sunday the weakest at 66.1%. 17 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 55% of the 24,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 55%Late-arriving aircraft
- 26%National Airspace System
- 12%Carrier
- 7%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
55% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 24,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 8 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 23,617 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations sit at 1.94% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 1.35%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 11.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 972 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 69.4% on time across 1,187 flights, 5 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 5 points of difference.
The sample behind these figures is 1,187 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in MCO after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. September runs 91.6% on time and December 56.9%, a swing of 35 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of December before you think about anything else. 1,148 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
HPN to MCO questions
How often is HPN to MCO delayed?
About one flight in four arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 25.8% of the 1,187 flights in this analysis, against 22.4% nationally. Delayed flights are late by a little over an hour on average.
How reliable is HPN to MCO compared with the rest of the country?
74.2% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.6%, a difference of 3 points against it. That is worth a C on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on HPN to MCO?
The 11am–2pm departure window is the strongest at 85.3% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 57.9%, 27 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are December delays on HPN to MCO?
December is the weakest month at 56.9% on time, compared with 91.6% in September. Across the year that is 35 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to HPN — the return legseparate record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- HPN to PBI, a related route73.9%
- ATL to MCO, a related route70.7%
- HPN to ORD, a related route78.7%
- JetBlue Airways on-time record74.2%
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
Direction matters. HPN to MCO and MCO to HPN are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.