Route reliability record
MCO→BQN
Orlando to Aguadilla
- Flights
- 1,018
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 1,129 mi
- Carriers
- 2
This route lands a B, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 1,018 MCO to BQN flights, of which Frontier Airlines flew 448 at 78.6% on time.
Best time to fly MCO to BQN: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Wednesday. Flights in that window arrived on time 91.7% of the time and Wednesday flights 86.0%, against 76.1% for the route overall.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
76.1%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 994 completed flights
Avg delay
67 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.87%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
Frontier
78.6% on time across 448 flights
These figures cover 1,018 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on MCO to BQN
The two carriers here are closely matched: 5 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines | 448 | 78.6% | 65 min | 1.56% | B |
| JetBlue Airways | 570 | 74.1% | 69 min | 2.11% | C |
No carrier stands out. Frontier tops the table at 78.6%, 5 points clear of the bottom, which is inside the range this kind of sample moves year to year.
Flight by flight
Flights on MCO to BQN
The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.
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Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly Orlando to Aguadilla
Every airline on this route, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time, with its best departure time and most punctual flight number. No nearby airport pair beat these.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. MCO → BQNOrlando to Aguadilla | Frontier Airlines | 77.4% | 78.6% | 1.56% | 8am–11am, Wed | F9 1954 23:17 |
| 2. MCO → BQNOrlando to Aguadilla | JetBlue Airways | 72.5% | 74.1% | 2.11% | 5am–8am, Wed | B6 430 05:01 |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 55 points, against 5 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am171 flights91.7%
- 8am–11am83 flights89.2%
- 11am–2pm78 flights65.8%
- 2pm–5pm188 flights65.7%
- 5pm–8pm36 flights37.1%
- 8pm–5am462 flights76.7%
Scale runs 30% to 95%.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 37.1% on time, against 91.7% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 462 flights scheduled in it.
Explore
Filter MCO to BQN by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On MCO to BQN, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 91.7% on time and the worst is 5pm–8pm at 37.1%, a wide gap of 54.6 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am91.7%
- 8–11am89.2%
- 11am–2pm65.8%
- 2–5pm65.7%
- 5–8pm37.1%
- 8pm–5am76.7%
best all US flightsScale 30% to 95%.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 21 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
December is the weak month at 65.3% on time, against 86.2% in May. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. June was the busiest month here, with 121 flights.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 86.0% on time and Sunday the weakest at 68.2%, a spread of 18 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 44% of the 16,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 44%Late-arriving aircraft
- 34%Carrier
- 19%National Airspace System
- 3%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
44% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 16,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 13 to one. The split is drawn from 15,967 reported delay minutes.
The largest share of delay minutes, 34%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 5,493 of the 16,000 delay minutes reported here.
Cancellations sit at 1.87% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.49%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 1,129 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 79.5% on time across 1,019 flights, 3 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 3 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 1,018 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in BQN after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 1,018 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 76.1% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 994 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
MCO to BQN questions
How often is MCO to BQN delayed?
About one flight in four arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 23.9% of the 1,018 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by about an hour on average.
Which airline is most reliable on MCO to BQN?
Frontier Airlines leads at 78.6% on time across 448 flights. JetBlue Airways is at the other end on 74.1%, a gap of 5 points. Sample size matters as much as the percentage: a rate built from a few hundred flights moves around far more than one built from ten thousand.
What time of day has the fewest delays on MCO to BQN?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 91.7% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 37.1%, 55 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are December delays on MCO to BQN?
December is the weakest month at 65.3% on time, compared with 86.2% in May. Across the year that is 21 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- BQN to MCO — the return legseparate record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- Frontier Airlines on MCO to BQN78.6%
- JetBlue Airways on MCO to BQN74.1%
- MCO to ATL, a related route74.9%
- MCO to EWR, a related route75.0%
- MCO to ORD, a related route71.1%
- Frontier Airlines on-time record78.6%
- JetBlue Airways on-time record74.1%
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- How often a connection fails at the major US hubs
Direction matters. MCO to BQN and BQN to MCO are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.