Route reliability record
BQN→MCO
Aguadilla to Orlando
- Flights
- 996
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Distance
- 1,129 mi
- Carriers
- 2
This route lands a B, about a point better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 996 BQN to MCO flights, of which JetBlue Airways flew 565 at 80.4% on time.
Best time to fly BQN to MCO: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Thursday. Flights in that window arrived on time 93.4% of the time and Thursday flights 83.9%, against 78.6% for the route overall.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
78.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 972 completed flights
Avg delay
81 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.01%
National rate is 1.81%
Best carrier
JetBlue
80.4% on time across 565 flights
These figures cover 996 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on BQN to MCO
The two carriers here are closely matched: 4 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JetBlue Airways | 565 | 80.4% | 79 min | 2.12% | B |
| Frontier Airlines | 431 | 76.3% | 85 min | 1.86% | B |
No carrier stands out. JetBlue tops the table at 80.4%, 4 points clear of the bottom, which is inside the range this kind of sample moves year to year.
Flight by flight
Flights on BQN to MCO
The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.
Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly Aguadilla to Orlando
Every airline on this route, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time, with its best departure time and most punctual flight number. No nearby airport pair beat these.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. BQN → MCOAguadilla to Orlando | JetBlue Airways | 78.7% | 80.4% | 2.12% | 5am–8am, Fri | B6 229 05:01 |
| 2. BQN → MCOAguadilla to Orlando | Frontier Airlines | 74.9% | 76.3% | 1.86% | 11am–2pm, Thu | F9 1953 02:59 |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 33 points, against 4 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am188 flights93.4%
- 8am–11am94 flights89.2%
- 11am–2pm88 flights79.5%
- 2pm–5pm60 flights74.1%
- 5pm–8pm124 flights60.0%
- 8pm–5am442 flights75.6%
Scale runs 50% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 60.0% on time, against 93.4% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 442 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 17 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
August is the worst month at 73.6% on time, 17 points below February, the best at 90.2%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. June was the busiest month here, with 122 flights.
Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 83.9% on time and Tuesday the weakest at 73.6%. 10 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 64% of the 17,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 64%Late-arriving aircraft
- 27%Carrier
- 7%National Airspace System
- 2%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
64% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 17,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 37 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 16,937 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 93.4% on time here.
Cancellations sit at 2.01% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.40%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
8.1% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 1,129 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 73.5% on time across 995 flights, 5 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 5 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 996 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in MCO after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 996 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 78.6% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 972 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
BQN to MCO questions
How often is BQN to MCO delayed?
About one flight in five arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 21.4% of the 996 flights in this analysis, against 22.4% nationally. Delayed flights are late by a little over an hour on average.
Which airline is most reliable on BQN to MCO?
JetBlue Airways leads at 80.4% on time across 565 flights. Frontier Airlines is at the other end on 76.3%, a gap of 4 points. Sample size matters as much as the percentage: a rate built from a few hundred flights moves around far more than one built from ten thousand.
What time of day has the fewest delays on BQN to MCO?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 93.4% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 60.0%, 33 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are August delays on BQN to MCO?
August is the weakest month at 73.6% on time, compared with 90.2% in February. Across the year that is 17 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to BQN — the return legseparate record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- JetBlue Airways on BQN to MCO80.4%
- Frontier Airlines on BQN to MCO76.3%
- ATL to MCO, a related route70.7%
- EWR to MCO, a related route77.1%
- ORD to MCO, a related route72.2%
- JetBlue Airways on-time record80.4%
- Frontier Airlines on-time record76.3%
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
Direction matters. BQN to MCO and MCO to BQN are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.