Carrier route record
YXDCA→BDL
Republic Airways · Washington to Hartford
- Flights
- 402
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 24%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on DCA to BDL sits in the middle of the pack with a C. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 3 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about 55 minutes behind schedule. That rests on 402 flights, with a median arrival 2 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on DCA to BDL from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
74.0%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 393 completed flights
Avg delay
54 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.24%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
68.3%
Every carrier on DCA to BDL, 1,680 flights
These figures cover 402 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 2 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on DCA to BDL
Republic flew 402 of the 1,680 flights on DCA to BDL, about 24% of it. Its 74.0% on time is 6 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 68.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 100.0% to American at 60.4%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Airthin sample | 8 | 100.0% | — | 0.00% | A+ |
| Republic Airways (this page) | 402 | 74.0% | 54 min | 2.24% | C |
| PSA Airlines | 984 | 67.8% | 78 min | 8.13% | C− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 286 | 60.4% | 73 min | 5.24% | D− |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 16 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am23 flights—
- 8am–11am112 flights78.6%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm88 flights74.7%
- 5pm–8pm96 flights62.2%
- 8pm–5am83 flights72.8%
Scale runs 55% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 62.2% on time, against 78.6% for the 8am–11am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 112 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on DCA to BDL through the year
- Jul–Sep 202528 flights—
- Oct–Dec 2025106 flights75.5%
- Jan–Mar 202653 flights49.0%
- Apr–Jun 2026152 flights78.5%
- Jul–Sep 202663 flights79.0%
Scale runs 40% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 74.0% on time across 402 flights.
Republic on DCA to BDL did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2026 at 79.0% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 49.0%, a swing of 30 points on roughly 101 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Sunday is the strongest day at 79.5% on time and Monday the weakest at 67.7%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on DCA to BDL runs when it is late
The 102 late arrivals split 46 under half an hour, 31 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 25 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early80 flights20.4%
- Within 15 min211 flights53.7%
- 15–29 min late46 flights11.7%
- 30–59 min late31 flights7.9%
- 1–2 hours late20 flights5.1%
- 2+ hours late5 flights1.3%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 393 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
16 of 93 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 17% of them. In the other direction, 25 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at BDL.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on DCA to BDL
The latest arrival of the period was on 22 March 2026, 15 hours behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). On three of the five worst days the largest share was filed as a late-arriving aircraft.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 22 March 2026 | 15 hours | Carrier |
| 12 June 2026 | 4 hours 5 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 30 November 2025 | 3 hours 9 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 24 April 2026 | 2 hours 46 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 2 March 2026 | 2 hours 2 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 56% of the 5,549 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 56%Late-arriving aircraft
- 25%Carrier
- 19%National Airspace System
- 0%Extreme weather
56% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 5,549 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 56 to one. The split is drawn from 5,549 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 78.6% on time here.
Cancellations sit at 2.24% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
6.4% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about 55 minutes, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 313 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 73.6% on time across 403 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 402 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on DCA to BDL
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 402 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 74.0% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 393 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- DCA to BDL, every carrier
- Republic on BDL to DCA, the return leg
- PSA Airlines on DCA to BDL67.8%
- American Airlines on DCA to BDL60.4%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.