Carrier route record
YXBDL→DCA
Republic Airways · Hartford to Washington
- Flights
- 403
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 24%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on BDL to DCA sits in the middle of the pack with a C. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 403 flights, with a median arrival 4 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on BDL to DCA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
73.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 394 completed flights
Avg delay
65 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.23%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
68.4%
Every carrier on BDL to DCA, 1,681 flights
These figures cover 403 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on BDL to DCA
Republic flew 403 of the 1,681 flights on BDL to DCA, about 24% of it. Its 73.6% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 68.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 73.6% to Envoy at 50.0%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 403 | 73.6% | 65 min | 2.23% | C |
| PSA Airlines | 986 | 67.5% | 90 min | 8.01% | C− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 284 | 64.2% | 94 min | 5.63% | D− |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 8 | 50.0% | 26 min | 12.50% | F− |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 30 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am87 flights88.5%
- 8am–11am24 flights—
- 11am–2pm111 flights77.5%
- 2pm–5pm1 flights—
- 5pm–8pm142 flights59.0%
- 8pm–5am38 flights73.0%
Scale runs 50% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 59.0% on time, against 88.5% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 142 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on BDL to DCA through the year
- Jul–Sep 202528 flights—
- Oct–Dec 2025106 flights70.8%
- Jan–Mar 202654 flights54.9%
- Apr–Jun 2026152 flights76.2%
- Jul–Sep 202663 flights79.0%
Scale runs 45% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 73.6% on time across 403 flights.
Republic on BDL to DCA did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2026 at 79.0% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 54.9%, a swing of 24 points on roughly 101 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 84.6% on time and Thursday the weakest at 64.2%, a spread of 20 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on BDL to DCA runs when it is late
Republic on BDL to DCA often beats the schedule: 120 of 394 completed flights, 30%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 104 late arrivals split 36 under half an hour, 33 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 35 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early120 flights30.5%
- Within 15 min170 flights43.1%
- 15–29 min late36 flights9.1%
- 30–59 min late33 flights8.4%
- 1–2 hours late25 flights6.3%
- 2+ hours late10 flights2.5%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 394 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
16 of 94 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 17% of them. In the other direction, 26 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at DCA.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on BDL to DCA
The latest arrival of the period was on 22 March 2026, 15 hours 1 minute behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The five worst days are spread across March, May and July, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 22 March 2026 | 15 hours 1 minute | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 27 May 2026 | 4 hours 37 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 14 July 2026 | 3 hours 43 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 13 May 2026 | 3 hours 26 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 2 March 2026 | 3 hours 7 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 43% of the 6,756 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 43%Late-arriving aircraft
- 39%National Airspace System
- 13%Carrier
- 6%Extreme weather
43% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 6,756 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 8 to one. The split is drawn from 6,756 reported delay minutes.
39% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 2,609 minutes out of 6,756, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations sit at 2.23% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
8.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 313 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 74.0% on time across 402 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 403 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on BDL to DCA
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 403 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 73.6% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 394 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- BDL to DCA, every carrier
- Republic on DCA to BDL, the return leg
- PSA Airlines on BDL to DCA67.5%
- American Airlines on BDL to DCA64.2%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.