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DelayAtlas

Flight number record

F9 1953

Frontier Airlines · Aguadilla to Orlando

Route
BQN → MCO
Departs
02:59
Flights
313
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
BGRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s F9 1953, check with Frontier Airlines.

F9 1953 sits in the middle of the pack with a B. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 2 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land an hour and a half behind schedule. That rests on 313 flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.

Key figures

On time

75.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 306 completed flights

Avg delay

87 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

2.24%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

8.8%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 313 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.8% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Schedule

When F9 1953 flies

F9 1953 flies BQN to MCO without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 02:59, used on 105 of 313 flights, with 03:55 (41 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

  • Departs 02:59105 flights33.5%
  • Departs 03:5541 flights13.1%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 02:59 departure sits in the 8pm–5am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 70.5%, and F9 1953 runs 5 points better at 75.5%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.

Against the route

F9 1953 next to BQN to MCO

Every carrier on BQN to MCO combined arrived on time 78.6% of the time across 996 flights, so F9 1953 is 3 points behind it. Across its whole network Frontier Airlines managed 73.2%, which this flight beats by 2 points.

F9 1953 against its route and carrier
Compared withFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
F9 1953thin sample31375.5%87 min2.24%B
All Frontier Airlines on BQN–MCO43176.3%85 min1.86%B
All carriers on BQN–MCO99678.6%81 min2.01%B
Frontier Airlines, whole network205,33273.2%84 min1.85%C

Across the year

F9 1953 quarter by quarter

F9 1953 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 84.2% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 71.1%, a swing of 13 points on roughly 78 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

  • Jul–Sep 202585 flights71.1%
  • Oct–Dec 202578 flights84.2%
  • Jan–Mar 202659 flights71.4%
  • Apr–Jun 202691 flights74.7%

Scale runs 65% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, F9 1953 did best on Thursday at 95.1% on time and worst on Sunday at 68.8%. Each day rests on about 45 flights, so a gap of 26 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.

On-time rate by day of the week68.9Mon73.8Tue76.5Wed95.1Thu72.9Fri75.0Sat68.8Sun
Monday: 68.9 percent on time. Tuesday: 73.8 percent on time. Wednesday: 76.5 percent on time. Thursday: 95.1 percent on time. Friday: 72.9 percent on time. Saturday: 75.0 percent on time. Sunday: 68.8 percent on time

Delay causes

Why F9 1953 runs late

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 66% of the 6,491 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    66%
  • Carrier
    27%
  • National Airspace System
    5%
  • Extreme weather
    2%

66% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 6,491 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 36 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 6,491 delay minutes reported on F9 1953.

Cancellations sit at 2.24% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

8.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last an hour and a half, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 1,129 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

Every one of the 313 flights under F9 1953 in the data flew BQN to MCO. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 313 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking F9 1953

For a booking, read F9 1953 as 75.5% on time with 2.24% cancelled over 313 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.