Route reliability record
TPA→EWR
Tampa to Newark
- Flights
- 2,506
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 997 mi
- Carriers
- 2
This route lands a B, about a point better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That rests on 2,506 TPA to EWR flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes early.
Best time to fly TPA to EWR: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Wednesday. Flights in that window arrived on time 95.2% of the time and Wednesday flights 84.1%, against 78.4% for the route overall.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
78.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 2,444 completed flights
Avg delay
80 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.00%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
United
79.4% on time across 2,335 flights
These figures cover 2,506 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on TPA to EWR
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 2,335 | 79.4% | 80 min | 2.06% | B |
| JetBlue Airwaysthin sample | 171 | 64.9% | 78 min | 1.17% | D |
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Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly Tampa to Newark
Every airline on this route and on the routes between nearby airports, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time. 4 of the top 5 use a different airport at one end.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. SRQ → EWRSarasota to Newark | United Airlines | 83.8% | 85.3% | 1.77% | 5am–8am, Fri | UA 2612 12:15 |
| 2. TPA → LGATampa to New York | American Airlines | 80.3% | 82.4% | 2.49% | 5am–8am, Wed | — |
| 3. TPA → JFKTampa to New York | Delta Air Lines | 80.2% | 82.3% | 2.56% | 5am–8am, Wed | DL 2475 07:16 |
| 4. TPA → EWRTampa to Newark | United Airlines | 77.8% | 79.4% | 2.06% | 5am–8am, Wed | — |
| 5. TPA → LGATampa to New York | Delta Air Lines | 70.2% | 72.8% | 3.54% | 8am–11am, Wed | DL 2723 07:00 |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 31 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am379 flights95.2%
- 8am–11am470 flights88.0%
- 11am–2pm398 flights83.8%
- 2pm–5pm628 flights69.8%
- 5pm–8pm514 flights64.6%
- 8pm–5am117 flights72.3%
Scale runs 55% to 100%.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 64.6% on time, against 95.2% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 628 flights scheduled in it.
Explore
Filter TPA to EWR by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On TPA to EWR, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 95.2% on time and the worst is 5pm–8pm at 64.6%, a wide gap of 30.6 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am95.2%
- 8–11am88.0%
- 11am–2pm83.8%
- 2–5pm69.8%
- 5–8pm64.6%
- 8pm–5am72.3%
best all US flightsScale 55% to 100%.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 27 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
July is the worst month at 66.2% on time, 27 points below April, the best at 93.2%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. March was the busiest month here, with 246 flights.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 84.1% on time and Sunday the weakest at 73.1%, a spread of 11 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
National Airspace System accounts for 54% of the 42,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 54%National Airspace System
- 25%Late-arriving aircraft
- 16%Carrier
- 4%Extreme weather
54% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 23,000 minutes out of 42,000, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 41,944 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations sit at 2.00% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.48%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
9.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 997 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 80.9% on time across 2,503 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
The sample behind these figures is 2,506 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in EWR after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. April runs 93.2% on time and July 66.2%, a swing of 27 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of July before you think about anything else. 2,444 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
TPA to EWR questions
How often is TPA to EWR delayed?
About one flight in five arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 21.6% of the 2,506 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by a little over an hour on average.
How reliable is TPA to EWR compared with the rest of the country?
78.4% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of about a point in its favour. That is worth a B on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on TPA to EWR?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 95.2% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 64.6%, 31 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are July delays on TPA to EWR?
July is the weakest month at 66.2% on time, compared with 93.2% in April. Across the year that is 27 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- EWR to TPA — the return legseparate record
- Tampa International (TPA) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- United Airlines on TPA to EWR79.4%
- JetBlue Airways on TPA to EWR64.9%
- TPA to ATL, a related route79.6%
- MCO to EWR, a related route75.0%
- TPA to ORD, a related route72.9%
- United Airlines on-time record79.4%
- JetBlue Airways on-time record64.9%
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
- How often a connection fails at the major US hubs
Direction matters. TPA to EWR and EWR to TPA are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.