Carrier route record
YXPVD→DCA
Republic Airways · Providence to Washington
- Flights
- 202
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 8%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on PVD to DCA sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 3 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 202 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Southwest Airlines, flew 670 at 76.8% on time.
Southwest Airlines is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 76.8% on time across 670 flights.
Key figures
On time
73.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 184 completed flights
Avg delay
60 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
8.42%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
71.0%
Every carrier on PVD to DCA, 2,426 flights
These figures cover 202 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on PVD to DCA
Republic flew 202 of the 2,426 flights on PVD to DCA, about 8% of it. Its 73.9% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 71.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number three of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 85.7% to PSA at 66.1%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Southwest Airlines arrives on time 76.8% of the time; PSA Airlines manages 66.1%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 1,062 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Airthin sample | 42 | 85.7% | 23 min | 0.00% | A+ |
| Southwest Airlines | 670 | 76.8% | 61 min | 2.09% | B |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 202 | 73.9% | 60 min | 8.42% | C− |
| American Airlines | 450 | 70.8% | 59 min | 3.33% | C− |
| PSA Airlines | 1,062 | 66.1% | 95 min | 8.29% | C− |
PSA Airlines cancels 8.3% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
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Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 26 points, against 11 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am54 flights87.8%
- 8am–11am25 flights—
- 11am–2pm38 flights76.3%
- 2pm–5pm1 flights—
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am84 flights62.0%
Scale runs 55% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 62.0% on time, against 87.8% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 84 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on PVD to DCA through the year
- Jul–Sep 20256 flights—
- Oct–Dec 20253 flights—
- Jan–Mar 202640 flights51.5%
- Apr–Jun 2026123 flights79.8%
- Jul–Sep 202630 flights—
Scale runs 45% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 73.9% on time across 202 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on PVD to DCA logged 6 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 3 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 40 flights in Jan–Mar 2026, 123 flights in Apr–Jun 2026 and 30 flights in Jul–Sep 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 73.9% annual figure is the one to use.
Across the week, Friday is the strongest day at 73.3% on time and Thursday the weakest at 61.3%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on PVD to DCA runs when it is late
Republic on PVD to DCA often beats the schedule: 55 of 184 completed flights, 30%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 48 late arrivals split 13 under half an hour, 19 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 16 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early55 flights29.9%
- Within 15 min81 flights44.0%
- 15–29 min late13 flights7.1%
- 30–59 min late19 flights10.3%
- 1–2 hours late12 flights6.5%
- 2+ hours late4 flights2.2%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 184 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
8 of 45 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. In the other direction, 11 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at DCA.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on PVD to DCA
The latest arrival of the period was on 2 March 2026, 3 hours 57 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on four of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 2 March 2026 | 3 hours 57 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 22 June 2026 | 3 hours 35 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 26 February 2026 | 3 hours 33 minutes | Carrier |
| 22 May 2026 | 2 hours 30 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 19 February 2026 | 1 hour 50 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 48% of the 2,875 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 48%Late-arriving aircraft
- 30%National Airspace System
- 22%Carrier
48% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 2,875 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 48 to one. The split is drawn from 2,875 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 87.8% on time here.
Cancellations run at 8.42%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in twelve cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
8.7% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 356 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 73.8% on time across 202 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 202 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on PVD to DCA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 8.42% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 184 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PVD to DCA, every carrier
- Republic on DCA to PVD, the return leg
- Southwest Airlines on PVD to DCA76.8%
- American Airlines on PVD to DCA70.8%
- PSA Airlines on PVD to DCA66.1%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.