Carrier route record
YXDCA→PVD
Republic Airways · Washington to Providence
- Flights
- 202
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 8%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on DCA to PVD sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 202 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, American Airlines, flew 450 at 77.0% on time.
American Airlines is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 77.0% on time across 450 flights.
Key figures
On time
73.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 183 completed flights
Avg delay
65 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
9.41%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
72.5%
Every carrier on DCA to PVD, 2,426 flights
These figures cover 202 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
Fare search by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on DCA to PVD
Republic flew 202 of the 2,426 flights on DCA to PVD, about 8% of it. Its 73.8% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 72.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number three of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from American at 77.0% to PSA at 69.0%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. American Airlines arrives on time 77.0% of the time; PSA Airlines manages 69.0%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 1,062 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 450 | 77.0% | 62 min | 3.33% | B− |
| Southwest Airlines | 670 | 74.7% | 64 min | 2.54% | C |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 202 | 73.8% | 65 min | 9.41% | C− |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 42 | 70.7% | 66 min | 2.38% | C |
| PSA Airlines | 1,062 | 69.0% | 72 min | 7.16% | C− |
PSA Airlines cancels 7.2% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 12 points, against 8 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am1 flights—
- 8am–11am50 flights78.0%
- 11am–2pm9 flights—
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm84 flights65.7%
- 8pm–5am58 flights77.4%
Scale runs 55% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 78.0% of the time, against 65.7% for the evening window. That is 12 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 84 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on DCA to PVD through the year
- Jul–Sep 20256 flights—
- Oct–Dec 20253 flights—
- Jan–Mar 202640 flights41.2%
- Apr–Jun 2026123 flights82.9%
- Jul–Sep 202630 flights—
Scale runs 35% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 73.8% on time across 202 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on DCA to PVD logged 6 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 3 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 40 flights in Jan–Mar 2026, 123 flights in Apr–Jun 2026 and 30 flights in Jul–Sep 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 73.8% annual figure is the one to use.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 83.3% on time and Thursday the weakest at 62.5%, a spread of 21 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on DCA to PVD runs when it is late
Republic on DCA to PVD often beats the schedule: 46 of 183 completed flights, 25%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 48 late arrivals split 15 under half an hour, 18 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 15 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early46 flights25.1%
- Within 15 min89 flights48.6%
- 15–29 min late15 flights8.2%
- 30–59 min late18 flights9.8%
- 1–2 hours late10 flights5.5%
- 2+ hours late5 flights2.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 183 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
13 of 53 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 25% of them. 8 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on DCA to PVD
The latest arrival of the period was on 5 March 2026, 7 hours 55 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as extreme weather. Three of the five worst days fell in March 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 5 March 2026 | 7 hours 55 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 2 March 2026 | 4 hours 24 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 22 June 2026 | 3 hours 45 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 22 May 2026 | 2 hours 40 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 2 March 2026 | 2 hours 23 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 57% of the 3,098 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 57%Late-arriving aircraft
- 17%National Airspace System
- 16%Extreme weather
- 10%Carrier
Extreme weather accounts for 16% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.6 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 3,098 reported delay minutes.
57% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 3,098 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 4 to one.
Cancellations run at 9.41%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in ten cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
8.2% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 356 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 73.9% on time across 202 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 202 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on DCA to PVD
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 9.41% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 183 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- DCA to PVD, every carrier
- Republic on PVD to DCA, the return leg
- American Airlines on DCA to PVD77.0%
- Southwest Airlines on DCA to PVD74.7%
- PSA Airlines on DCA to PVD69.0%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.