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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

MQORDPVD

Envoy Air · Chicago to Providence

Flights
274
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
17%
Carriers
5
B−GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Envoy Air.

Envoy on ORD to PVD earns a B−. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 6 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 274 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, SkyWest Airlines, flew 768 at 65.7% on time.

Set against the rest of the country, Envoy's ORD to PVD record is 6 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 64 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

Key figures

On time

84.0%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 262 completed flights

Avg delay

64 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

4.38%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

68.7%

Every carrier on ORD to PVD, 1,654 flights

These figures cover 274 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 11 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Envoy against every carrier on ORD to PVD

Envoy flew 274 of the 1,654 flights on ORD to PVD, about 17% of it. Its 84.0% on time is 15 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 68.7%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 84.0% to American at 61.5%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 4 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on ORD to PVD
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Envoy Air (this page)thin sample27484.0%64 min4.38%B−
Republic Airwaysthin sample6281.4%59 min4.84%B−
United Airlinesthin sample11972.9%54 min0.84%C+
SkyWest Airlines76865.7%70 min2.73%C
American Airlines43161.5%89 min2.78%D

No carrier stands out. SkyWest tops the table at 65.7%, 4 points clear of the bottom, which is inside the range this kind of sample moves year to year.

Departure window

When Envoy runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 14 points, against 4 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am
  • 8am–11am143 flights90.6%
  • 11am–2pm121 flights77.0%
  • 2pm–5pm10 flights
  • 5pm–8pm
  • 8pm–5am

Scale runs 70% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The weak window here is the middle of the day, not the evening: 11am–2pm runs 77.0% on time against 90.6% for 8am–11am. That shape usually means a departure bank rather than an accumulating delay, so the recovery later in the afternoon is real rather than noise. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 143 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Envoy on ORD to PVD through the year

  • Jul–Sep 202533 flights68.8%
  • Oct–Dec 202524 flights
  • Jan–Mar 202699 flights83.5%
  • Apr–Jun 2026118 flights93.0%

Scale runs 60% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 84.0% on time across 274 flights.

Envoy on ORD to PVD did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 93.0% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 68.8%, a swing of 24 points on roughly 91 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 87.8% on time and Friday the weakest at 72.7%. 15 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week87.8Mon79.4Tue86.1Wed87.5Thu72.7FriSat86.0Sun
Monday: 87.8 percent on time. Tuesday: 79.4 percent on time. Wednesday: 86.1 percent on time. Thursday: 87.5 percent on time. Friday: 72.7 percent on time. Saturday: not enough flights. Sunday: 86.0 percent on time

Delay causes

Why Envoy runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 54% of the 2,682 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    54%
  • National Airspace System
    23%
  • Carrier
    16%
  • Extreme weather
    7%

54% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 2,682 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 8 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 2,682 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 90.6% on time here.

Cancellations run at 4.38%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

7.3% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 849 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 77.0% on time across 274 flights, 7 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 7 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 274 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Envoy on ORD to PVD

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.38% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 262 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.