Carrier route record
AAORD→PVD
American Airlines · Chicago to Providence
- Flights
- 432
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 25%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with American Airlines.
American on ORD to PVD draws a D−. Roughly one flight in two arrives at least 15 minutes late, and the typical late arrival is an hour and a half behind schedule. Build slack into anything you connect to. That rests on 432 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so American on ORD to PVD runs 18 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 177 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
59.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 416 completed flights
Avg delay
88 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.24%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
69.3%
Every carrier on ORD to PVD, 1,727 flights
These figures cover 432 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 18.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
American against every carrier on ORD to PVD
American flew 432 of the 1,727 flights on ORD to PVD, about 25% of it. Its 59.6% on time is 10 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 69.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 86.3% to American at 59.6%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Airthin sample | 328 | 86.3% | 65 min | 3.96% | A− |
| Republic Airwaysthin sample | 94 | 75.3% | 66 min | 5.32% | B− |
| United Airlinesthin sample | 119 | 72.9% | 54 min | 0.84% | C+ |
| SkyWest Airlines | 754 | 66.1% | 70 min | 3.32% | C− |
| American Airlines (this page) | 432 | 59.6% | 88 min | 3.24% | D− |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When American runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 14 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am25 flights—
- 11am–2pm46 flights65.2%
- 2pm–5pm2 flights—
- 5pm–8pm272 flights60.6%
- 8pm–5am87 flights51.2%
Scale runs 45% to 70%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 51.2% on time, against 65.2% for the 11am–2pm slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 272 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
American on ORD to PVD through the year
- Jul–Sep 202535 flights42.9%
- Oct–Dec 2025110 flights68.8%
- Jan–Mar 202690 flights57.1%
- Apr–Jun 2026135 flights60.8%
- Jul–Sep 202662 flights53.4%
Scale runs 35% to 75%.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 59.6% on time across 432 flights.
American on ORD to PVD did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 68.8% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 42.9%, a swing of 26 points on roughly 86 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 69.1% on time and Sunday the weakest at 46.7%, a spread of 22 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late American on ORD to PVD runs when it is late
The 168 late arrivals split 52 under half an hour, 40 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 76 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early82 flights19.7%
- Within 15 min166 flights39.9%
- 15–29 min late52 flights12.5%
- 30–59 min late40 flights9.6%
- 1–2 hours late46 flights11.1%
- 2+ hours late30 flights7.2%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 416 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
29 of 174 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 17% of them. In the other direction, 23 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at PVD.
The worst days
Worst days for American on ORD to PVD
The latest arrival of the period was on 30 January 2026, 14 hours 16 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on three of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 30 January 2026 | 14 hours 16 minutes | Carrier |
| 26 September 2025 | 13 hours 22 minutes | Carrier |
| 12 August 2026 | 12 hours 1 minute | National Airspace System |
| 25 February 2026 | 10 hours 13 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 20 August 2026 | 9 hours 51 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why American runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 46% of the 15,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 46%Late-arriving aircraft
- 32%Carrier
- 15%National Airspace System
- 7%Extreme weather
46% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 15,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 7 to one. The split is drawn from 14,796 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 3.24%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
18.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 849 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 78.9% on time across 432 flights, 19 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 19 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 432 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking American on ORD to PVD
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.24% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you an hour and a half; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 11am–2pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 416 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- ORD to PVD, every carrier
- American on PVD to ORD, the return leg
- Envoy Air on ORD to PVD86.3%
- United Airlines on ORD to PVD72.9%
- SkyWest Airlines on ORD to PVD66.1%
- American Airlines network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.