Carrier route record

AAPVD→ORD

American Airlines · Providence to Chicago

Flights: 432
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 25%
Carriers: 5

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with American Airlines.

American on PVD to ORD lands a B−, 2 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by close to two hours on average. That rests on 432 flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate American on PVD to ORD from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

78.9%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 417 completed flights

Avg delay

116 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

3.47%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

74.5%

Every carrier on PVD to ORD, 1,727 flights

These figures cover 432 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

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Carrier by carrier

American against every carrier on PVD to ORD

American flew 432 of the 1,727 flights on PVD to ORD, about 25% of it. Its 78.9% on time is 4 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 74.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 81.4% to Republic at 65.5%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on PVD to ORD
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Envoy Airthin sample	328	81.4%	100 min	5.49%	B−
American Airlines (this page)	432	78.9%	116 min	3.47%	B−
United Airlinesthin sample	119	75.7%	42 min	2.52%	B
SkyWest Airlines	754	69.8%	97 min	3.71%	C−
Republic Airwaysthin sample	94	65.5%	61 min	6.38%	C−

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When American runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 25 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

5am–8am364 flights82.9%
8am–11am—
11am–2pm15 flights—
2pm–5pm9 flights—
5pm–8pm44 flights58.1%
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 50% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 58.1% on time, against 82.9% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 364 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

American on PVD to ORD through the year

Jul–Sep 202535 flights80.0%
Oct–Dec 2025110 flights79.6%
Jan–Mar 202690 flights85.9%
Apr–Jun 2026135 flights73.8%
Jul–Sep 202662 flights78.0%

Scale runs 65% to 90%.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 78.9% on time across 432 flights.

American on PVD to ORD did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 85.9% on time and its weakest Apr–Jun 2026 at 73.8%, a swing of 12 points on roughly 86 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 85.0% on time and Saturday the weakest at 73.7%, a spread of 11 points.

Arrival by arrival

How late American on PVD to ORD runs when it is late

American on PVD to ORD often beats the schedule: 129 of 417 completed flights, 31%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 88 late arrivals split 26 under half an hour, 24 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 38 an hour or more.

15+ min early129 flights30.9%
Within 15 min200 flights48.0%
15–29 min late26 flights6.2%
30–59 min late24 flights5.8%
1–2 hours late21 flights5.0%
2+ hours late17 flights4.1%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 417 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

Time lost at the gate mostly stays lost. Of 71 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, only 7 made it up before arrival. In the other direction, 24 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at ORD.

The worst days

Worst days for American on PVD to ORD

The latest arrival of the period was on 5 March 2026, 28 hours 11 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on four of the five worst days.

The latest arrivals of American on PVD to ORD in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
5 March 2026	28 hours 11 minutes	Carrier
2 June 2026	14 hours 33 minutes	Carrier
13 October 2025	12 hours 14 minutes	Carrier
31 January 2026	8 hours 1 minute	Late-arriving aircraft
18 November 2025	7 hours 58 minutes	Carrier

Delay causes

Why American runs late on this route

Carrier accounts for 53% of the 10,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

Carrier
53%
Late-arriving aircraft
30%
National Airspace System
14%
Extreme weather
3%

The largest share of delay minutes, 53%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 5,434 of the 10,000 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 10,209 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 82.9% on time here.

Cancellations run at 3.47%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 849 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 59.6% on time across 432 flights, 19 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 19 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 432 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking American on PVD to ORD

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.47% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you close to two hours; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 417 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures