Carrier route record
AAPVD→ORD
American Airlines · Providence to Chicago
- Flights
- 431
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 26%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with American Airlines.
American on PVD to ORD lands a B−, 2 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by close to two hours on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 431 flights, with a median arrival 6 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate American on PVD to ORD from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
79.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 418 completed flights
Avg delay
108 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.02%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
73.6%
Every carrier on PVD to ORD, 1,654 flights
These figures cover 431 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
American against every carrier on PVD to ORD
American flew 431 of the 1,654 flights on PVD to ORD, about 26% of it. Its 79.2% on time is 6 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 73.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from American at 79.2% to SkyWest at 69.4%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines (this page) | 431 | 79.2% | 108 min | 3.02% | B− |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 274 | 77.0% | 98 min | 5.84% | B− |
| United Airlinesthin sample | 119 | 75.7% | 42 min | 2.52% | B |
| Republic Airwaysthin sample | 62 | 69.5% | 50 min | 4.84% | C− |
| SkyWest Airlines | 768 | 69.4% | 102 min | 3.52% | C− |
Departure window
When American runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 25 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am363 flights83.2%
- 8am–11am—
- 11am–2pm15 flights—
- 2pm–5pm9 flights—
- 5pm–8pm44 flights58.1%
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 50% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 58.1% on time, against 83.2% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 363 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
American on PVD to ORD through the year
Delays peak in May, when the on-time rate falls to 70.6%. March is the strongest month at 86.7%. Moving a flexible trip across that boundary buys 16 points. April was the busiest month here, with 54 flights.
Across the week, Sunday is the strongest day at 81.7% on time and Saturday the weakest at 75.0%. 7 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why American runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 61% of the 9,364 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 61%Carrier
- 23%Late-arriving aircraft
- 14%National Airspace System
- 3%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 61%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 5,694 of the 9,364 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 9,364 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 3.02%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
8.1% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last close to two hours, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 849 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 61.5% on time across 431 flights, 18 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 18 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 431 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking American on PVD to ORD
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.02% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you close to two hours; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 418 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PVD to ORD, every carrier
- American on ORD to PVD, the return leg
- Envoy Air on PVD to ORD77.0%
- United Airlines on PVD to ORD75.7%
- SkyWest Airlines on PVD to ORD69.4%
- American Airlines network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.