Carrier route record

YXMSP→EWR

Republic Airways · Minneapolis to Newark

Flights: 474
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 21%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on MSP to EWR earns a B−. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 7 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 474 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,260 at 75.5% on time.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's MSP to EWR record is 7 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 68 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

84.4%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 442 completed flights

Avg delay

68 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

6.33%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

77.0%

Every carrier on MSP to EWR, 2,208 flights

These figures cover 474 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 18 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on MSP to EWR

Republic flew 474 of the 2,208 flights on MSP to EWR, about 21% of it. Its 84.4% on time is 7 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 77.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 84.4% to United at 73.8%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 2 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on MSP to EWR
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)	474	84.4%	68 min	6.33%	B−
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample	9	77.8%	32 min	0.00%	B+
Delta Air Lines	1,260	75.5%	73 min	3.97%	B−
United Airlines	465	73.8%	120 min	2.15%	C

Delta Air Lines cancels 4.0% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 474 flights.

5am–8am132 flights86.4%
8am–11am—
11am–2pm206 flights82.6%
2pm–5pm5 flights—
5pm–8pm130 flights84.3%
8pm–5am1 flights—

Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5am–8am window is the strongest at 86.4% on time. The full set of windows spans 4 points.

Across the year

Republic on MSP to EWR through the year

Jul–Sep 20253 flights—
Oct–Dec 202576 flights64.2%
Jan–Mar 2026246 flights82.3%
Apr–Jun 2026149 flights96.6%

Scale runs 55% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 84.4% on time across 474 flights.

Republic on MSP to EWR did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 96.6% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 64.2%, a swing of 32 points on roughly 158 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 90.2% on time and Friday the weakest at 78.1%. 12 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 43% of the 4,687 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Carrier
43%
National Airspace System
37%
Late-arriving aircraft
20%

The largest share of delay minutes, 43%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 2,013 of the 4,687 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 4,687 reported delay minutes.

37% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,740 minutes out of 4,687, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 6.33%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.1% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 86.7% on time across 474 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 474 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on MSP to EWR

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.33% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 442 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures