Carrier route record
YXMSP→EWR
Republic Airways · Minneapolis to Newark
- Flights
- 481
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 22%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on MSP to EWR earns a B−. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 7 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 481 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, United Airlines, flew 495 at 78.4% on time.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's MSP to EWR record is 7 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 71 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
84.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 448 completed flights
Avg delay
67 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
6.44%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
79.5%
Every carrier on MSP to EWR, 2,225 flights
These figures cover 481 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 17 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on MSP to EWR
Republic flew 481 of the 2,225 flights on MSP to EWR, about 22% of it. Its 84.4% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 79.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 84.4% to SkyWest at 77.8%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The two carriers here are closely matched: half a point separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 481 | 84.4% | 67 min | 6.44% | B− |
| United Airlines | 495 | 78.4% | 100 min | 3.43% | B− |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,240 | 78.1% | 68 min | 4.44% | B− |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 77.8% | 32 min | 0.00% | B+ |
Delta Air Lines cancels 4.4% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 481 flights.
- 5am–8am132 flights86.4%
- 8am–11am3 flights—
- 11am–2pm210 flights82.4%
- 2pm–5pm5 flights—
- 5pm–8pm130 flights84.3%
- 8pm–5am1 flights—
Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The early departures do better, though not dramatically: 86.4% on time for the 5am–8am window against 82.4% for 11am–2pm. Worth taking if the schedule allows, not worth an extra connection. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 210 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on MSP to EWR through the year
- Jul–Sep 20251 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202576 flights64.2%
- Jan–Mar 2026246 flights82.3%
- Apr–Jun 2026149 flights96.6%
- Jul–Sep 20269 flights—
Scale runs 55% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 84.4% on time across 481 flights.
Republic on MSP to EWR did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 96.6% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 64.2%, a swing of 32 points on roughly 160 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 90.2% on time and Friday the weakest at 78.1%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on MSP to EWR runs when it is late
Republic on MSP to EWR often beats the schedule: 248 of 448 completed flights, 55%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 70 late arrivals split 25 under half an hour, 27 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 18 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early248 flights55.4%
- Within 15 min130 flights29.0%
- 15–29 min late25 flights5.6%
- 30–59 min late27 flights6.0%
- 1–2 hours late11 flights2.5%
- 2+ hours late7 flights1.6%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 448 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
10 of 56 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. In the other direction, 24 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at EWR.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on MSP to EWR
The latest arrival of the period was on 20 May 2026, 14 hours 54 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on three of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 14 hours 54 minutes | Carrier |
| 13 March 2026 | 5 hours 39 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 2 November 2025 | 3 hours 40 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 30 December 2025 | 2 hours 46 minutes | Carrier |
| 16 March 2026 | 2 hours 37 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carrier accounts for 43% of the 4,705 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 43%Carrier
- 37%National Airspace System
- 20%Late-arriving aircraft
The largest share of delay minutes, 43%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 2,013 of the 4,705 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 4,705 reported delay minutes.
37% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,740 minutes out of 4,705, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 6.44%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.0% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 86.8% on time across 481 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 481 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on MSP to EWR
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.44% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 448 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to EWR, every carrier
- Republic on EWR to MSP, the return leg
- United Airlines on MSP to EWR78.4%
- Delta Air Lines on MSP to EWR78.1%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.