Carrier route record
UAMSP→EWR
United Airlines · Minneapolis to Newark
- Flights
- 495
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 22%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with United Airlines.
United on MSP to EWR lands a B−, about a point better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by close to two hours on average. That rests on 495 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Republic Airways, flew 481 at 84.4% on time.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate United on MSP to EWR from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
78.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 476 completed flights
Avg delay
100 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.43%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
79.5%
Every carrier on MSP to EWR, 2,225 flights
These figures cover 495 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 12.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
United against every carrier on MSP to EWR
United flew 495 of the 2,225 flights on MSP to EWR, about 22% of it. Its 78.4% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 79.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 84.4% to SkyWest at 77.8%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Republic Airways arrives on time 84.4% of the time; Delta Air Lines manages 78.1%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 1,240 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways | 481 | 84.4% | 67 min | 6.44% | B− |
| United Airlines (this page) | 495 | 78.4% | 100 min | 3.43% | B− |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,240 | 78.1% | 68 min | 4.44% | B− |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 77.8% | 32 min | 0.00% | B+ |
Republic Airways cancels 6.4% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
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Departure window
When United runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 37 points, against 6 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am158 flights94.1%
- 8am–11am87 flights84.3%
- 11am–2pm51 flights78.4%
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm152 flights57.3%
- 8pm–5am47 flights80.9%
Scale runs 50% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 57.3% on time, against 94.1% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 158 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
United on MSP to EWR through the year
- Jul–Sep 202585 flights80.0%
- Oct–Dec 2025125 flights67.2%
- Jan–Mar 20264 flights—
- Apr–Jun 2026116 flights81.7%
- Jul–Sep 2026165 flights84.7%
Scale runs 60% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 78.4% on time across 495 flights.
United on MSP to EWR did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2026 at 84.7% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 67.2%, a swing of 18 points on roughly 124 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 85.5% on time and Sunday the weakest at 73.2%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late United on MSP to EWR runs when it is late
United on MSP to EWR often beats the schedule: 192 of 476 completed flights, 40%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. When United on MSP to EWR is late it tends to be very late: 58 of its 103 late arrivals were an hour or more behind, and 24 were two hours or more.
- 15+ min early192 flights40.3%
- Within 15 min181 flights38.0%
- 15–29 min late20 flights4.2%
- 30–59 min late25 flights5.3%
- 1–2 hours late34 flights7.1%
- 2+ hours late24 flights5.0%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 476 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
20 of 107 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 19% of them. 16 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for United on MSP to EWR
The latest arrival of the period was on 4 September 2025, 14 hours 45 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. The five worst days are spread across September, December, June and October, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 4 September 2025 | 14 hours 45 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 28 December 2025 | 6 hours 41 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 1 September 2025 | 6 hours 7 minutes | Carrier |
| 12 June 2026 | 6 hours 4 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 30 October 2025 | 5 hours 46 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why United runs late on this route
National Airspace System accounts for 62% of the 10,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 62%National Airspace System
- 24%Late-arriving aircraft
- 13%Carrier
- 0%Extreme weather
62% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 6,430 minutes out of 10,000, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 10,309 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 3.43%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
12.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 73.3% on time across 496 flights, 5 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 5 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 495 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking United on MSP to EWR
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.43% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you close to two hours; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 476 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to EWR, every carrier
- United on EWR to MSP, the return leg
- Republic Airways on MSP to EWR84.4%
- Delta Air Lines on MSP to EWR78.1%
- United Airlines network-wide record
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.