Carrier route record

YXEWR→MSP

Republic Airways · Newark to Minneapolis

Flights: 474
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 21%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on EWR to MSP earns an A−. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 9 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about 50 minutes. That rests on 474 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,260 at 77.8% on time.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to MSP record is 9 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 91 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

86.7%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 442 completed flights

Avg delay

50 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

6.33%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

78.6%

Every carrier on EWR to MSP, 2,208 flights

These figures cover 474 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 15 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on EWR to MSP

Republic flew 474 of the 2,208 flights on EWR to MSP, about 21% of it. Its 86.7% on time is 8 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 78.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 86.7% to SkyWest at 66.7%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 5 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on EWR to MSP
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)	474	86.7%	50 min	6.33%	A−
Delta Air Lines	1,260	77.8%	116 min	4.05%	B−
United Airlines	465	73.1%	94 min	1.08%	C
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample	9	66.7%	25 min	0.00%	C+

Delta Air Lines cancels 4.0% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 474 flights.

5am–8am—
8am–11am206 flights87.0%
11am–2pm4 flights—
2pm–5pm133 flights87.9%
5pm–8pm1 flights—
8pm–5am130 flights85.0%

Scale runs 75% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 2pm–5pm window is the strongest at 87.9% on time. The full set of windows spans 3 points.

Across the year

Republic on EWR to MSP through the year

Jul–Sep 20253 flights—
Oct–Dec 202576 flights77.1%
Jan–Mar 2026247 flights85.7%
Apr–Jun 2026148 flights92.4%

Scale runs 70% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 86.7% on time across 474 flights.

Republic on EWR to MSP did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 92.4% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 77.1%, a swing of 15 points on roughly 158 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 89.1% on time and Saturday the weakest at 83.9%. 5 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 2,929 reported delay minutes.

National Airspace System
39%
Carrier
28%
Late-arriving aircraft
22%
Extreme weather
11%

Extreme weather accounts for 11% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 1.8 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 2,929 reported delay minutes.

39% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,142 minutes out of 2,929, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 6.33%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.4% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 84.4% on time across 474 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 474 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on EWR to MSP

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.33% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about 50 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 2pm–5pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 442 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures