Carrier route record
YXEWR→MSP
Republic Airways · Newark to Minneapolis
- Flights
- 481
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 22%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on EWR to MSP earns an A−. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 10 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about 50 minutes. That rests on 481 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,240 at 79.0% on time.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to MSP record is 10 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 95 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
86.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 448 completed flights
Avg delay
50 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
6.44%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
79.3%
Every carrier on EWR to MSP, 2,226 flights
These figures cover 481 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 15 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on EWR to MSP
Republic flew 481 of the 2,226 flights on EWR to MSP, about 22% of it. Its 86.8% on time is 8 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 79.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 86.8% to SkyWest at 66.7%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The two carriers here are closely matched: 6 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 481 | 86.8% | 50 min | 6.44% | A− |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,240 | 79.0% | 116 min | 4.60% | B− |
| United Airlines | 496 | 73.3% | 83 min | 2.82% | C |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 66.7% | 25 min | 0.00% | C+ |
Delta Air Lines cancels 4.6% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 481 flights.
- 5am–8am3 flights—
- 8am–11am210 flights87.2%
- 11am–2pm4 flights—
- 2pm–5pm133 flights87.9%
- 5pm–8pm1 flights—
- 8pm–5am130 flights85.0%
Scale runs 75% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 2pm–5pm window is the strongest at 87.9% on time. The full set of windows spans 3 points.
Across the year
Republic on EWR to MSP through the year
- Jul–Sep 20251 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202576 flights77.1%
- Jan–Mar 2026247 flights85.7%
- Apr–Jun 2026148 flights92.4%
- Jul–Sep 20269 flights—
Scale runs 70% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 86.8% on time across 481 flights.
Republic on EWR to MSP did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 92.4% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 77.1%, a swing of 15 points on roughly 160 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 89.1% on time and Tuesday the weakest at 84.1%, a spread of 5 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on EWR to MSP runs when it is late
Republic on EWR to MSP often beats the schedule: 227 of 448 completed flights, 51%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 59 late arrivals split 23 under half an hour, 21 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 15 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early227 flights50.7%
- Within 15 min162 flights36.2%
- 15–29 min late23 flights5.1%
- 30–59 min late21 flights4.7%
- 1–2 hours late12 flights2.7%
- 2+ hours late3 flights0.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 448 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
A late pushback is often recovered here: of 48 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, 15 still arrived on time. In the other direction, 26 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at MSP.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on EWR to MSP
The latest arrival of the period was on 11 March 2026, 5 hours 24 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as extreme weather. Three of the five worst days fell in March 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 11 March 2026 | 5 hours 24 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 18 May 2026 | 3 hours 13 minutes | Carrier |
| 16 March 2026 | 2 hours 19 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 27 December 2025 | 1 hour 36 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 3 March 2026 | 1 hour 35 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 2,929 reported delay minutes.
- 39%National Airspace System
- 28%Carrier
- 22%Late-arriving aircraft
- 11%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 11% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 1.8 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 2,929 reported delay minutes.
39% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,142 minutes out of 2,929, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 6.44%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.3% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 84.4% on time across 481 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 481 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on EWR to MSP
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.44% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about 50 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 2pm–5pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 448 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- EWR to MSP, every carrier
- Republic on MSP to EWR, the return leg
- Delta Air Lines on EWR to MSP79.0%
- United Airlines on EWR to MSP73.3%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.