Carrier route record

YXMSP→DCA

Republic Airways · Minneapolis to Washington

Flights: 215
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 8%
Carriers: 5

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on MSP to DCA sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 3 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 215 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,695 at 75.6% on time.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on MSP to DCA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

74.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 201 completed flights

Avg delay

72 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.58%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

74.3%

Every carrier on MSP to DCA, 2,574 flights

These figures cover 215 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 5 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on MSP to DCA

Republic flew 215 of the 2,574 flights on MSP to DCA, about 8% of it. Its 74.6% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 74.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 75.6% to American at 61.5%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 3 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on MSP to DCA
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Delta Air Lines	1,695	75.6%	60 min	2.12%	B
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	215	74.6%	72 min	5.58%	C−
PSA Airlines	483	72.7%	160 min	5.59%	C−
Envoy Airthin sample	140	66.7%	66 min	4.29%	C−
American Airlinesthin sample	41	61.5%	73 min	4.88%	D−

PSA Airlines cancels 5.6% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 34 points, against 3 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

5am–8am131 flights84.6%
8am–11am—
11am–2pm16 flights—
2pm–5pm—
5pm–8pm68 flights50.8%
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 40% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 50.8% on time, against 84.6% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 131 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on MSP to DCA through the year

Jul–Sep 202549 flights59.1%
Oct–Dec 202549 flights64.6%
Jan–Mar 202673 flights80.3%
Apr–Jun 202644 flights93.0%

Scale runs 50% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 74.6% on time across 215 flights.

Republic on MSP to DCA did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 93.0% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 59.1%, a swing of 34 points on roughly 54 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 80.6% on time and Thursday the weakest at 63.9%. 17 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 3,667 reported delay minutes.

Extreme weather
30%
National Airspace System
24%
Late-arriving aircraft
24%
Carrier
22%

Extreme weather accounts for 30% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 4.8 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 3,667 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations run at 5.58%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

5.5% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 931 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 76.2% on time across 214 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 215 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on MSP to DCA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.58% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 201 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures