Carrier route record

YXDCA→MSP

Republic Airways · Washington to Minneapolis

Flights: 214
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 8%
Carriers: 5

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on DCA to MSP lands a B−, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 214 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,695 at 79.9% on time.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on DCA to MSP from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

76.2%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 202 completed flights

Avg delay

71 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.14%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

77.3%

Every carrier on DCA to MSP, 2,574 flights

These figures cover 214 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on DCA to MSP

Republic flew 214 of the 2,574 flights on DCA to MSP, about 8% of it. Its 76.2% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 77.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 79.9% to PSA at 69.5%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 79.9% of the time; PSA Airlines manages 69.5%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 483 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on DCA to MSP
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Delta Air Lines	1,695	79.9%	98 min	2.06%	B
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	214	76.2%	71 min	5.14%	B−
Envoy Airthin sample	141	75.9%	58 min	2.84%	B
American Airlinesthin sample	41	72.5%	62 min	2.44%	C
PSA Airlines	483	69.5%	86 min	4.35%	C−

PSA Airlines cancels 4.3% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 214 flights.

5am–8am—
8am–11am1 flights—
11am–2pm—
2pm–5pm81 flights74.7%
5pm–8pm—
8pm–5am132 flights77.2%

Scale runs 65% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 8pm–5am window is the strongest at 77.2% on time. The full set of windows spans 3 points.

Across the year

Republic on DCA to MSP through the year

Jul–Sep 202549 flights78.7%
Oct–Dec 202549 flights72.9%
Jan–Mar 202673 flights69.7%
Apr–Jun 202643 flights87.8%

Scale runs 60% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 76.2% on time across 214 flights.

Republic on DCA to MSP did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 87.8% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 69.7%, a swing of 18 points on roughly 54 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 83.3% on time and Wednesday the weakest at 64.9%. 18 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 3,388 reported delay minutes.

Late-arriving aircraft
34%
Carrier
29%
National Airspace System
25%
Extreme weather
12%

Extreme weather accounts for 12% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 1.9 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 3,388 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations run at 5.14%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

8.4% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 931 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 74.6% on time across 215 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 214 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on DCA to MSP

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.14% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8pm–5am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 202 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures