Carrier route record
YXDCA→MSP
Republic Airways · Washington to Minneapolis
- Flights
- 198
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 8%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on DCA to MSP sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 5 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 198 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,701 at 78.9% on time.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so Republic on DCA to MSP runs 5 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 51 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
72.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 187 completed flights
Avg delay
76 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.05%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
75.6%
Every carrier on DCA to MSP, 2,632 flights
These figures cover 198 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on DCA to MSP
Republic flew 198 of the 2,632 flights on DCA to MSP, about 8% of it. Its 72.2% on time is 3 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 75.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number four of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 78.9% to PSA at 65.4%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 78.9% of the time; PSA Airlines manages 65.4%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 528 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 1,701 | 78.9% | 94 min | 1.88% | B |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 164 | 76.9% | 55 min | 2.44% | B |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 41 | 72.5% | 62 min | 2.44% | C |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 198 | 72.2% | 76 min | 5.05% | C− |
| PSA Airlines | 528 | 65.4% | 96 min | 7.20% | C− |
PSA Airlines cancels 7.2% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
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Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 14 points, against 14 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am5 flights—
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm61 flights63.3%
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am132 flights77.2%
Scale runs 55% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is the strongest at 77.2% on time. The full set of windows spans 14 points.
Across the year
Republic on DCA to MSP through the year
- Jul–Sep 20256 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202549 flights72.9%
- Jan–Mar 202673 flights69.7%
- Apr–Jun 202643 flights87.8%
- Jul–Sep 202627 flights—
Scale runs 60% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 72.2% on time across 198 flights.
Republic on DCA to MSP did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 87.8% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 69.7%, a swing of 18 points on roughly 66 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 86.7% on time and Wednesday the weakest at 59.4%, a spread of 27 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on DCA to MSP runs when it is late
Republic on DCA to MSP often beats the schedule: 54 of 187 completed flights, 29%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 52 late arrivals split 20 under half an hour, 14 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 18 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early54 flights28.9%
- Within 15 min81 flights43.3%
- 15–29 min late20 flights10.7%
- 30–59 min late14 flights7.5%
- 1–2 hours late7 flights3.7%
- 2+ hours late11 flights5.9%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 187 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
Time lost at the gate mostly stays lost. Of 41 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, only 4 made it up before arrival. In the other direction, 15 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at MSP.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on DCA to MSP
The latest arrival of the period was on 8 March 2026, 5 hours 47 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The five worst days are spread across March, October, August and April, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 8 March 2026 | 5 hours 47 minutes | Carrier |
| 30 October 2025 | 4 hours 58 minutes | Carrier |
| 7 August 2026 | 4 hours 22 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 6 August 2026 | 4 hours 10 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 5 April 2026 | 4 hours 1 minute | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 3,952 reported delay minutes.
- 32%Late-arriving aircraft
- 28%Carrier
- 23%National Airspace System
- 16%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 16% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.7 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 3,952 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 5.05%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
9.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 931 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 78.1% on time across 199 flights, 6 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 6 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 198 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on DCA to MSP
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.05% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8pm–5am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 187 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- DCA to MSP, every carrier
- Republic on MSP to DCA, the return leg
- Delta Air Lines on DCA to MSP78.9%
- Envoy Air on DCA to MSP76.9%
- PSA Airlines on DCA to MSP65.4%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.