Skip to content
DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

YXLGASTL

Republic Airways · New York to St. Louis

Flights
1,226
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
46%
Carriers
3
B−GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on LGA to STL carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 5.2% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.8% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, close to three flights in four arrive on time, worth a B− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,226 flights, with a median arrival 9 minutes early.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on LGA to STL from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

Key figures

On time

77.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,159 completed flights

Avg delay

74 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.22%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

75.6%

Every carrier on LGA to STL, 2,644 flights

These figures cover 1,226 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on LGA to STL

Republic flew 1,226 of the 2,644 flights on LGA to STL, about 46% of it. Its 77.6% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from SkyWest at 89.3% to Southwest at 73.7%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on LGA to STL
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample2889.3%20 min0.00%A+
Republic Airways (this page)1,22677.6%74 min5.22%B−
Southwest Airlines1,39073.7%69 min3.02%C−

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 24 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am74 flights90.5%
  • 8am–11am364 flights83.3%
  • 11am–2pm319 flights79.9%
  • 2pm–5pm89 flights76.5%
  • 5pm–8pm326 flights66.2%
  • 8pm–5am54 flights73.1%

Scale runs 60% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 90.5% of the time, against 66.2% for the evening window. That is 24 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 364 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on LGA to STL through the year

On-time rate by calendar month84J84F66M85A81M85J71J87A85S69O72N62D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.August best, December worst

December is the weak month at 61.8% on time, against 87.1% in August. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. March was the busiest month here, with 139 flights.

Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 81.4% on time and Friday the weakest at 72.8%. 9 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week78.4Mon78.2Tue81.4Wed78.3Thu72.8Fri80.3Sat74.7Sun
Monday: 78.4 percent on time. Tuesday: 78.2 percent on time. Wednesday: 81.4 percent on time. Thursday: 78.3 percent on time. Friday: 72.8 percent on time. Saturday: 80.3 percent on time. Sunday: 74.7 percent on time

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 50% of the 19,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    50%
  • National Airspace System
    26%
  • Carrier
    22%
  • Extreme weather
    3%
  • Security
    0%

50% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 19,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 17 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 19,345 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 90.5% on time here.

Cancellations run at 5.22%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 888 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 80.3% on time across 1,227 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

The sample behind these figures is 1,226 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on LGA to STL

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.22% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,159 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.