Carrier route record
YXLGA→BNA
Republic Airways · New York to Nashville
- Flights
- 1,696
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 45%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on LGA to BNA carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 5.3% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.8% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, close to three flights in four arrive on time, worth a C− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,696 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 450 at 69.2% on time.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on LGA to BNA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
74.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,600 completed flights
Avg delay
62 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.31%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
71.2%
Every carrier on LGA to BNA, 3,805 flights
These figures cover 1,696 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on LGA to BNA
Republic flew 1,696 of the 3,805 flights on LGA to BNA, about 45% of it. Its 74.6% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 71.2%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 74.6% to SkyWest at 61.3%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The two carriers here are closely matched: half a point separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 1,696 | 74.6% | 62 min | 5.31% | C− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 34 | 73.5% | 125 min | 0.00% | C+ |
| Delta Air Lines | 450 | 69.2% | 81 min | 4.44% | C− |
| Southwest Airlines | 1,447 | 69.0% | 65 min | 3.25% | C− |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 178 | 61.3% | 95 min | 5.62% | D− |
Delta Air Lines cancels 4.4% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Flight by flight
Republic flight numbers on LGA to BNA
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 19 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am68 flights83.1%
- 8am–11am441 flights83.4%
- 11am–2pm386 flights77.4%
- 2pm–5pm387 flights69.0%
- 5pm–8pm35 flights78.8%
- 8pm–5am379 flights64.8%
Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 64.8% on time, against 83.4% for the 8am–11am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 441 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on LGA to BNA through the year
December is the weak month at 60.7% on time, against 85.8% in August. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. March was the busiest month here, with 223 flights.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 80.0% on time and Sunday the weakest at 69.1%. 11 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 49% of the 25,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 49%Late-arriving aircraft
- 24%National Airspace System
- 21%Carrier
- 5%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
49% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 25,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 9 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 25,073 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 83.4% on time here.
Cancellations run at 5.31%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 9.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 764 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 72.5% on time across 1,696 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
The sample behind these figures is 1,696 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on LGA to BNA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.31% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,600 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- LGA to BNA, every carrier
- Republic on BNA to LGA, the return leg
- Delta Air Lines on LGA to BNA69.2%
- Southwest Airlines on LGA to BNA69.0%
- SkyWest Airlines on LGA to BNA61.3%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- LaGuardia (LGA) delay statistics
- Nashville International (BNA) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.