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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

YXBNALGA

Republic Airways · Nashville to New York

Flights
1,696
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
45%
Carriers
5
C−GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on BNA to LGA carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 4.5% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.8% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, about seven flights in ten arrive on time, worth a C− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,696 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Southwest Airlines, flew 1,447 at 70.7% on time.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so Republic on BNA to LGA runs 5 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 51 extra late arrivals.

Key figures

On time

72.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,606 completed flights

Avg delay

71 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

4.48%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

71.8%

Every carrier on BNA to LGA, 3,805 flights

These figures cover 1,696 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 11.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on BNA to LGA

Republic flew 1,696 of the 3,805 flights on BNA to LGA, about 45% of it. Its 72.5% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 71.8%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from SkyWest at 83.6% to American at 60.6%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 2 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on BNA to LGA
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample17883.6%79 min0.00%B+
Republic Airways (this page)1,69672.5%71 min4.48%C−
Southwest Airlines1,44770.7%54 min2.76%C
Delta Air Lines45068.7%133 min4.89%C−
American Airlinesthin sample3460.6%125 min0.00%D+

Delta Air Lines cancels 4.9% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Flight by flight

Republic flight numbers on BNA to LGA

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 25 points, against 2 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am421 flights82.3%
  • 8am–11am248 flights77.3%
  • 11am–2pm310 flights78.3%
  • 2pm–5pm402 flights66.4%
  • 5pm–8pm315 flights57.1%
  • 8pm–5am

Scale runs 50% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 57.1% on time, against 82.3% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 421 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on BNA to LGA through the year

On-time rate by calendar month84J85F58M81A81M72J64J77A81S60O64N65D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.February best, March worst

Delays peak in March, when the on-time rate falls to 58.0%. February is the strongest month at 84.7%. Moving a flexible trip across that boundary buys 27 points. March was the busiest month here, with 223 flights.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 82.1% on time and Sunday the weakest at 66.3%. 16 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week72.3Mon77.5Tue73.9Wed67.4Thu69.4Fri82.1Sat66.3Sun
Monday: 72.3 percent on time. Tuesday: 77.5 percent on time. Wednesday: 73.9 percent on time. Thursday: 67.4 percent on time. Friday: 69.4 percent on time. Saturday: 82.1 percent on time. Sunday: 66.3 percent on time

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 31,000 reported delay minutes.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    39%
  • National Airspace System
    37%
  • Carrier
    22%
  • Extreme weather
    3%

39% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 31,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 14 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 31,352 reported delay minutes.

37% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 11,000 minutes out of 31,000, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 4.48%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 11.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 764 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 74.6% on time across 1,696 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

The sample behind these figures is 1,696 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on BNA to LGA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.48% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,606 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.