Carrier route record
YXJFK→BNA
Republic Airways · New York to Nashville
- Flights
- 865
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 61%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on JFK to BNA carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 4.0% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.9% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, close to three flights in four arrive on time, worth a B− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 865 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on JFK to BNA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
76.5%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 827 completed flights
Avg delay
77 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
4.05%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
74.4%
Every carrier on JFK to BNA, 1,412 flights
These figures cover 865 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on JFK to BNA
Republic flew 865 of the 1,412 flights on JFK to BNA, most of the route. Its 76.5% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 74.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 76.5% to JetBlue at 70.8%.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 865 | 76.5% | 77 min | 4.05% | B− |
| JetBlue Airways | 547 | 70.8% | 64 min | 6.95% | C− |
Flight by flight
Republic flight numbers on JFK to BNA
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 16 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am33 flights87.9%
- 8am–11am120 flights87.3%
- 11am–2pm196 flights77.2%
- 2pm–5pm376 flights73.3%
- 5pm–8pm4 flights—
- 8pm–5am136 flights71.5%
Scale runs 65% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 87.9% of the time, against 71.5% for the overnight window. That is 16 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 376 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on JFK to BNA through the year
September is the best month on the calendar at 86.2% on time. Shoulder season thins the schedule and takes the summer weather with it, and the operation gets its margin back. October was the busiest month here, with 97 flights.
Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 79.3% on time and Thursday the weakest at 72.2%, a spread of 7 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on JFK to BNA runs when it is late
Republic on JFK to BNA often beats the schedule: 254 of 827 completed flights, 31%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 194 late arrivals split 60 under half an hour, 56 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 78 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early254 flights30.7%
- Within 15 min379 flights45.8%
- 15–29 min late60 flights7.3%
- 30–59 min late56 flights6.8%
- 1–2 hours late43 flights5.2%
- 2+ hours late35 flights4.2%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 827 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
28 of 166 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 17% of them. In the other direction, 56 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at BNA.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on JFK to BNA
The latest arrival of the period was on 18 July 2026, 18 hours 40 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as extreme weather. The five worst days are spread across July, November, August and March, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 18 July 2026 | 18 hours 40 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 17 November 2025 | 10 hours 30 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 8 August 2026 | 6 hours 18 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 16 March 2026 | 5 hours 59 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 7 August 2026 | 5 hours 26 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 44% of the 15,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 44%Late-arriving aircraft
- 32%National Airspace System
- 13%Carrier
- 11%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 11% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 1.9 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 14,900 reported delay minutes.
44% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 15,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 4 to one.
Cancellations run at 4.05%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
9.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 765 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 78.0% on time across 867 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 865 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on JFK to BNA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.05% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 827 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- JFK to BNA, every carrier
- Republic on BNA to JFK, the return leg
- JetBlue Airways on JFK to BNA70.8%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- John F. Kennedy International (JFK) delay statistics
- Nashville International (BNA) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.