Carrier route record
YXBNA→JFK
Republic Airways · Nashville to New York
- Flights
- 867
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 61%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on BNA to JFK lands a B−, level with the national rate of 77.3%. Roughly one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 867 flights, with a median arrival 6 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on BNA to JFK from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
78.0%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 832 completed flights
Avg delay
65 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.11%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
76.4%
Every carrier on BNA to JFK, 1,416 flights
These figures cover 867 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 6 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on BNA to JFK
Republic flew 867 of the 1,416 flights on BNA to JFK, most of the route. Its 78.0% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 78.0% to JetBlue at 73.8%.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 867 | 78.0% | 65 min | 3.11% | B− |
| JetBlue Airways | 549 | 73.8% | 74 min | 7.10% | C− |
Flight by flight
Republic flight numbers on BNA to JFK
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 22 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am135 flights80.0%
- 8am–11am240 flights87.7%
- 11am–2pm333 flights76.4%
- 2pm–5pm141 flights65.4%
- 5pm–8pm18 flights—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 55% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 87.7% of the time, against 65.4% for the afternoon window. That is 22 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 333 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on BNA to JFK through the year
December is the weak month at 68.8% on time, against 88.5% in September. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. October was the busiest month here, with 97 flights.
Across the week, Monday is the strongest day at 82.5% on time and Thursday the weakest at 73.9%, a spread of 9 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on BNA to JFK runs when it is late
Republic on BNA to JFK often beats the schedule: 247 of 832 completed flights, 30%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 183 late arrivals split 62 under half an hour, 58 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 63 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early247 flights29.7%
- Within 15 min402 flights48.3%
- 15–29 min late62 flights7.5%
- 30–59 min late58 flights7.0%
- 1–2 hours late39 flights4.7%
- 2+ hours late24 flights2.9%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 832 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
24 of 161 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 15% of them. In the other direction, 46 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at JFK.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on BNA to JFK
The latest arrival of the period was on 20 December 2025, 15 hours 8 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The five worst days are spread across December, October and May, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 20 December 2025 | 15 hours 8 minutes | Carrier |
| 30 October 2025 | 6 hours 53 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 12 October 2025 | 4 hours 39 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 5 December 2025 | 3 hours 20 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 21 May 2026 | 3 hours 18 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 12,000 reported delay minutes.
- 41%Late-arriving aircraft
- 29%National Airspace System
- 28%Carrier
- 3%Extreme weather
41% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 12,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 16 to one. The split is drawn from 11,903 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 87.7% on time here.
Cancellations run at 3.11%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
7.6% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 765 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 76.5% on time across 865 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 867 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on BNA to JFK
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.11% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 832 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- BNA to JFK, every carrier
- Republic on JFK to BNA, the return leg
- JetBlue Airways on BNA to JFK73.8%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Nashville International (BNA) delay statistics
- John F. Kennedy International (JFK) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.