Carrier route record

YXXNA→ORD

Republic Airways · Bentonville to Chicago

Flights: 107
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 6%
Carriers: 5

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on XNA to ORD lands a B, 3 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 107 flights, with a median arrival 6 minutes early.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on XNA to ORD from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

80.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 103 completed flights

Avg delay

66 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

2.80%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

77.3%

Every carrier on XNA to ORD, 1,895 flights

These figures cover 107 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 6 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

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Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on XNA to ORD

Republic flew 107 of the 1,895 flights on XNA to ORD, about 6% of it. Its 80.6% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 77.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 80.6% to United at 0.0%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on XNA to ORD
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	107	80.6%	66 min	2.80%	B
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample	175	79.6%	71 min	5.71%	B−
Envoy Air	1,603	77.0%	88 min	1.68%	B
American Airlinesthin sample	9	55.6%	163 min	0.00%	D+
United Airlinesthin sample	1	0.0%	131 min	0.00%	F+

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 19 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

5am–8am31 flights93.5%
8am–11am21 flights—
11am–2pm—
2pm–5pm47 flights75.0%
5pm–8pm8 flights—
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 65% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 93.5% of the time, against 75.0% for the afternoon window. That is 19 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 47 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on XNA to ORD through the year

Jul–Sep 20251 flights—
Jan–Mar 20265 flights—
Apr–Jun 202697 flights81.7%
Jul–Sep 20264 flights—

Scale runs 75% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 80.6% on time across 107 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on XNA to ORD logged 1 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 5 flights in Jan–Mar 2026, 97 flights in Apr–Jun 2026 and 4 flights in Jul–Sep 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 80.6% annual figure is the one to use.

Arrival by arrival

How late Republic on XNA to ORD runs when it is late

The 20 late arrivals split 8 under half an hour, 6 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 6 an hour or more.

15+ min early21 flights20.4%
Within 15 min62 flights60.2%
15–29 min late8 flights7.8%
30–59 min late6 flights5.8%
1–2 hours late3 flights2.9%
2+ hours late3 flights2.9%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 103 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

Only 12 of 103 completed flights left 15 minutes late or more, too few to say how often the time is made up.

The worst days

Worst days for Republic on XNA to ORD

The latest arrival of the period was on 20 April 2026, 4 hours 59 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on three of the five worst days.

The latest arrivals of Republic on XNA to ORD in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
20 April 2026	4 hours 59 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
31 March 2026	2 hours 55 minutes	National Airspace System
16 April 2026	2 hours 28 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
18 May 2026	1 hour 48 minutes	National Airspace System
15 August 2026	1 hour 23 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

National Airspace System accounts for 51% of the 1,312 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

National Airspace System
51%
Late-arriving aircraft
42%
Carrier
7%
Extreme weather
0%

42% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 1,312 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 42 to one. The split is drawn from 1,312 reported delay minutes.

51% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 674 minutes out of 1,312, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 2.80%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 40 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

5.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 522 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg runs 82.2% on time across 107 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 107 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on XNA to ORD

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 2.80% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 103 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures