Carrier route record
YXXNA→ORD
Republic Airways · Bentonville to Chicago
- Flights
- 126
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 7%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on XNA to ORD lands a B, 2 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 126 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on XNA to ORD from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
79.3%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 121 completed flights
Avg delay
66 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.38%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
75.9%
Every carrier on XNA to ORD, 1,736 flights
These figures cover 126 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 5 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on XNA to ORD
Republic flew 126 of the 1,736 flights on XNA to ORD, about 7% of it. Its 79.3% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from SkyWest at 80.0% to United at 0.0%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 52 | 80.0% | 60 min | 1.92% | B |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 126 | 79.3% | 66 min | 2.38% | B |
| Envoy Air | 1,548 | 75.6% | 84 min | 1.74% | B |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 55.6% | 163 min | 0.00% | D+ |
| United Airlinesthin sample | 1 | 0.0% | 131 min | 0.00% | F+ |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 19 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am31 flights93.5%
- 8am–11am21 flights—
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm70 flights74.2%
- 5pm–8pm4 flights—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 65% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 93.5% of the time, against 74.2% for the afternoon window. That is 19 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 70 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on XNA to ORD through the year
- Jul–Sep 202524 flights—
- Jan–Mar 20265 flights—
- Apr–Jun 202697 flights81.7%
Scale runs 75% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 79.3% on time across 126 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on XNA to ORD logged 24 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 5 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 97 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 79.3% annual figure is the one to use.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 52% of the 1,648 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 52%National Airspace System
- 42%Late-arriving aircraft
- 6%Carrier
42% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 1,648 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 42 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 1,648 reported delay minutes.
52% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 852 minutes out of 1,648, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations sit at 2.38% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 1.59%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
5.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 522 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 81.7% on time across 126 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on XNA to ORD
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 79.3% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 121 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- XNA to ORD, every carrier
- Republic on ORD to XNA, the return leg
- Envoy Air on XNA to ORD75.6%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.