Carrier route record
YXORD→XNA
Republic Airways · Chicago to Bentonville
- Flights
- 126
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 7%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on ORD to XNA lands a B−, 4 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. Roughly one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by roughly 45 minutes on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 126 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's ORD to XNA record is 4 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 41 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
81.7%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 120 completed flights
Avg delay
47 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.97%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
76.4%
Every carrier on ORD to XNA, 1,733 flights
These figures cover 126 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 11 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on ORD to XNA
Republic flew 126 of the 1,733 flights on ORD to XNA, about 7% of it. Its 81.7% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 100.0% to American at 66.7%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlinesthin sample | 1 | 100.0% | — | 0.00% | A+ |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 126 | 81.7% | 47 min | 3.97% | B− |
| Envoy Air | 1,545 | 76.2% | 63 min | 1.75% | B |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 52 | 69.4% | 84 min | 5.77% | C− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 66.7% | 45 min | 0.00% | C+ |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 126 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am—
- 11am–2pm70 flights81.4%
- 2pm–5pm7 flights—
- 5pm–8pm3 flights—
- 8pm–5am46 flights80.5%
Scale runs 70% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 11am–2pm window is the strongest at 81.4% on time. The full set of windows spans about a point.
Across the year
Republic on ORD to XNA through the year
- Jul–Sep 202524 flights—
- Jan–Mar 20266 flights—
- Apr–Jun 202696 flights82.4%
Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 81.7% on time across 126 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on ORD to XNA logged 24 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 6 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 96 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 81.7% annual figure is the one to use.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 48% of the 1,031 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 48%Late-arriving aircraft
- 27%Carrier
- 26%National Airspace System
48% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 1,031 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 48 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 1,031 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 3.97%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.5% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 522 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 79.3% on time across 126 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on ORD to XNA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.97% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you roughly 45 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 11am–2pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 120 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.