Carrier route record
YXORD→XNA
Republic Airways · Chicago to Bentonville
- Flights
- 107
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 6%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on ORD to XNA lands a B−, 5 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about 45 minutes on average. That rests on 107 flights, with a median arrival 10 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's ORD to XNA record is 5 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 49 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
82.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 101 completed flights
Avg delay
45 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
4.67%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
75.6%
Every carrier on ORD to XNA, 1,891 flights
These figures cover 107 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on ORD to XNA
Republic flew 107 of the 1,891 flights on ORD to XNA, about 6% of it. Its 82.2% on time is 7 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 100.0% to American at 66.7%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlinesthin sample | 1 | 100.0% | — | 0.00% | A+ |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 107 | 82.2% | 45 min | 4.67% | B− |
| Envoy Air | 1,599 | 75.7% | 67 min | 1.56% | B |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 175 | 70.8% | 65 min | 8.00% | C− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 9 | 66.7% | 45 min | 0.00% | C+ |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 107 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am—
- 11am–2pm47 flights83.0%
- 2pm–5pm11 flights—
- 5pm–8pm3 flights—
- 8pm–5am46 flights80.5%
Scale runs 70% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 11am–2pm window is the strongest at 83.0% on time. The full set of windows spans 3 points.
Across the year
Republic on ORD to XNA through the year
- Jul–Sep 20251 flights—
- Jan–Mar 20266 flights—
- Apr–Jun 202696 flights82.4%
- Jul–Sep 20264 flights—
Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 82.2% on time across 107 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on ORD to XNA logged 1 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 6 flights in Jan–Mar 2026, 96 flights in Apr–Jun 2026 and 4 flights in Jul–Sep 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 82.2% annual figure is the one to use.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on ORD to XNA runs when it is late
Republic on ORD to XNA often beats the schedule: 43 of 101 completed flights, 43%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 18 late arrivals split 4 under half an hour, 12 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 2 an hour or more. Not one arrived two hours late.
- 15+ min early43 flights42.6%
- Within 15 min40 flights39.6%
- 15–29 min late4 flights4.0%
- 30–59 min late12 flights11.9%
- 1–2 hours late2 flights2.0%
- 2+ hours late0 flights0.0%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 101 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
Only 15 of 101 completed flights left 15 minutes late or more, too few to say how often the time is made up.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on ORD to XNA
The latest arrival of the period was on 2 April 2026, 1 hour 56 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. Three of the five worst days fell in April 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 2 April 2026 | 1 hour 56 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 16 April 2026 | 1 hour 33 minutes | Carrier |
| 15 August 2026 | 56 minutes | Carrier |
| 31 March 2026 | 55 minutes | Carrier |
| 3 April 2026 | 48 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 811 reported delay minutes.
- 35%Carrier
- 34%Late-arriving aircraft
- 31%National Airspace System
34% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 811 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 34 to one. The split is drawn from 811 reported delay minutes.
The largest share of delay minutes, 35%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 284 of the 811 delay minutes reported here.
Cancellations run at 4.67%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.0% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 522 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 80.6% on time across 107 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 107 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on ORD to XNA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.67% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about 45 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 11am–2pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 101 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- ORD to XNA, every carrier
- Republic on XNA to ORD, the return leg
- Envoy Air on ORD to XNA75.7%
- SkyWest Airlines on ORD to XNA70.8%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.