Route reliability record
PVD→BWI
Providence to Baltimore
- Flights
- 1,850
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 327 mi
- Carriers
- 1
This route earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 10 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs roughly 50 minutes. That rests on 1,850 PVD to BWI flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.
Best time to fly PVD to BWI: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Wednesday. Flights in that window arrived on time 95.6% of the time and Wednesday flights 90.4%, against 86.9% for the route overall.
Set against the rest of the country, this route's record is 10 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 96 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
86.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,805 completed flights
Avg delay
52 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.95%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
Southwest
86.9% on time across 1,850 flights
These figures cover 1,850 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 7 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on PVD to BWI
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 1,850 | 86.9% | 52 min | 1.95% | A |
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Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly Providence to Baltimore
Every airline on this route and on the routes between nearby airports, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time. 4 of the top 5 use a different airport at one end.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. PVD → BWIProvidence to Baltimore | Southwest Airlines | 85.2% | 86.9% | 1.95% | 5am–8am, Wed | — |
| 2. BOS → IADBoston to Washington | United Airlines | 81.4% | 83.3% | 2.28% | 5am–8am, Sat (route) | UA 1734 05:45 |
| 3. BOS → BWIBoston to Baltimore | Republic Airways | 78.3% | 81.8% | 4.28% | 5am–8am, Thu | YX 5644 17:25 |
| 4. PVD → DCAProvidence to Washington | Southwest Airlines | 75.2% | 76.8% | 2.09% | 5am–8am, Wed | — |
| 5. BOS → BWIBoston to Baltimore | Southwest Airlines | 75.0% | 76.8% | 2.32% | 5am–8am, Tue | — |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 28 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am411 flights95.6%
- 8am–11am378 flights93.2%
- 11am–2pm447 flights85.9%
- 2pm–5pm398 flights83.5%
- 5pm–8pm201 flights67.9%
- 8pm–5am15 flights—
Scale runs 60% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 95.6% of the time, against 67.9% for the evening window. That is 28 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 447 flights scheduled in it.
Explore
Filter PVD to BWI by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On PVD to BWI, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 95.6% on time and the worst is 5pm–8pm at 67.9%, a wide gap of 27.7 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am95.6%
- 8–11am93.2%
- 11am–2pm85.9%
- 2–5pm83.5%
- 5–8pm67.9%
- 8pm–5am—
best all US flightsScale 60% to 100%. Cells under 30 flights show a dash.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 15 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
December is the weak month at 78.6% on time, against 93.1% in April. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. September was the busiest month here, with 172 flights.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 90.4% on time and Sunday the weakest at 82.9%, a spread of 8 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 50% of the 12,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 50%Late-arriving aircraft
- 27%Carrier
- 22%National Airspace System
- 2%Extreme weather
50% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 12,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 28 to one. The split is drawn from 12,265 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 95.6% on time here.
Cancellations sit at 1.95% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.49%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.7% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
At 327 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 79.6% on time across 1,846 flights, 7 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 7 points of difference.
The sample behind these figures is 1,850 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in BWI after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. April runs 93.1% on time and December 78.6%, a swing of 15 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of December before you think about anything else. 1,805 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
PVD to BWI questions
How often is PVD to BWI delayed?
About one flight in eight arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 13.1% of the 1,850 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by roughly 50 minutes on average.
How reliable is PVD to BWI compared with the rest of the country?
86.9% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of 10 points in its favour. That is worth a A on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on PVD to BWI?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 95.6% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 67.9%, 28 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are December delays on PVD to BWI?
December is the weakest month at 78.6% on time, compared with 93.1% in April. Across the year that is 15 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- BWI to PVD — the return legseparate record
- Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall (BWI) delay statistics
- PVD to DCA, a related route71.0%
- ATL to BWI, a related route75.2%
- PVD to ORD, a related route74.5%
- Southwest Airlines on-time record86.9%
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
Direction matters. PVD to BWI and BWI to PVD are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.