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DelayAtlas

Route reliability record

PNS→ORD

Pensacola to Chicago

Flights
756
Period
September 2025 to August 2026
Distance
794 mi
Carriers
4
BGRADE

This route lands a B, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by an hour and a half on average. That rests on 756 PNS to ORD flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.

Best time to fly PNS to ORD: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Saturday. Flights in that window arrived on time 80.0% of the time and Saturday flights 81.7%, against 76.5% for the route overall.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

Key figures

On time

76.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 732 completed flights

Avg delay

99 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

2.51%

National rate is 1.89%

Best carrier

—

No carrier clears the floor

These figures cover 756 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 12.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

Fare search by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Carrier by carrier

Which airline is most reliable on PNS to ORD

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on PNS to ORD
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample2194.7%438 min4.76%A−
Envoy Airthin sample28878.3%89 min2.78%B
Republic Airwaysthin sample8476.9%117 min7.14%B−
United Airlinesthin sample36374.0%98 min1.10%C

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

The best time of day to leave

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 756 flights.

  • 5am–8am30 flights80.0%
  • 8am–11am26 flights—
  • 11am–2pm163 flights78.8%
  • 2pm–5pm536 flights75.0%
  • 5pm–8pm1 flights—
  • 8pm–5am—

Scale runs 65% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The early departures do better, though not dramatically: 80.0% on time for the 5am–8am window against 75.0% for 2pm–5pm. Worth taking if the schedule allows, not worth an extra connection. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 536 flights scheduled in it.

Explore

Filter PNS to ORD by airline, time, month and day

Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.

On PNS to ORD, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 80.0% on time and the worst is 2pm–5pm at 75.0%, a real gap of 5.0 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.

  • 5–8am80.0%
  • 8–11am—
  • 11am–2pm78.8%
  • 2–5pm75.0%
  • 5–8pm—
  • 8pm–5am—

best all US flightsScale 60% to 95%. Cells under 30 flights show a dash.

Across the year

When delays peak on this route

This route's year swings by 29 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.

On-time rate by calendar month74J89F78M73A85M64J72J61A80S90O77N76D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.October best, August worst

August is the worst month at 61.3% on time, 29 points below October, the best at 90.3%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. March was the busiest month here, with 114 flights.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 81.7% on time and Friday the weakest at 68.5%, a spread of 13 points.

On-time rate by day of the week75.5Mon80.0Tue74.2Wed80.4Thu68.5Fri81.7Sat75.9Sun
Monday: 75.5 percent on time. Tuesday: 80.0 percent on time. Wednesday: 74.2 percent on time. Thursday: 80.4 percent on time. Friday: 68.5 percent on time. Saturday: 81.7 percent on time. Sunday: 75.9 percent on time

Delay causes

Why this route gets delayed

Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 50% of the 17,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    50%
  • National Airspace System
    30%
  • Carrier
    11%
  • Extreme weather
    8%

50% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 17,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 6 to one. The split is drawn from 16,951 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 80.0% on time here.

Cancellations run at 2.51%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 40 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here actually costs

12.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 794 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg runs 78.8% on time across 756 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 756 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

Work out the risk of missing a connection in ORD after this flight

What to do with this

Booking this route

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 756 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 76.5% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 732 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Common questions

PNS to ORD questions

How often is PNS to ORD delayed?

About one flight in four arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 23.5% of the 756 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by an hour and a half on average.

How reliable is PNS to ORD compared with the rest of the country?

76.5% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of about a point against it. That is worth a B on this site's grading scale.

What time of day has the fewest delays on PNS to ORD?

The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 80.0% on time. The 2pm–5pm window is the weakest at 75.0%, 5 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.

How bad are August delays on PNS to ORD?

August is the weakest month at 61.3% on time, compared with 90.3% in October. Across the year that is 29 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.

Related

Where to go next

Direction matters. PNS to ORD and ORD to PNS are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.

Embed PNS to ORD’s on-time badge on your site

Paste this into a web page. The badge shows the current on-time rate, cancellation rate and grade, and updates every month. Preview it, or build a badge for another route or airport.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.