Carrier route record
OOPHX→BFL
SkyWest Airlines · Phoenix to Bakersfield
- Flights
- 822
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 64%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with SkyWest Airlines.
SkyWest on PHX to BFL lands a B, 2 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by an hour and a half on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 822 flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate SkyWest on PHX to BFL from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
79.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 798 completed flights
Avg delay
87 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.31%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
80.1%
Every carrier on PHX to BFL, 1,288 flights
These figures cover 822 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
SkyWest against every carrier on PHX to BFL
SkyWest flew 822 of the 1,288 flights on PHX to BFL, most of the route. Its 79.8% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 80.1%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from American at 80.9% to Envoy at 79.3%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlinesthin sample | 350 | 80.9% | 81 min | 1.14% | B |
| SkyWest Airlines (this page) | 822 | 79.8% | 87 min | 2.31% | B |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 116 | 79.3% | 48 min | 0.00% | B+ |
Departure window
When SkyWest runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 26 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am74 flights98.6%
- 8am–11am189 flights76.5%
- 11am–2pm39 flights79.5%
- 2pm–5pm218 flights79.4%
- 5pm–8pm159 flights73.1%
- 8pm–5am143 flights82.4%
Scale runs 65% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 98.6% of the time, against 73.1% for the evening window. That is 26 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 218 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
SkyWest on PHX to BFL through the year
May is the best month on the calendar at 91.5% on time. Shoulder season thins the schedule and takes the summer weather with it, and the operation gets its margin back. March was the busiest month here, with 122 flights.
Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 83.7% on time and Tuesday the weakest at 74.7%. 9 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why SkyWest runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 47% of the 14,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 47%Carrier
- 30%Late-arriving aircraft
- 19%Extreme weather
- 3%National Airspace System
Extreme weather accounts for 19% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 3.1 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 14,013 reported delay minutes.
The largest share of delay minutes, 47%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 6,597 of the 14,000 delay minutes reported here.
Cancellations sit at 2.31% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.61%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 9.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
At 425 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 82.6% on time across 822 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 822 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking SkyWest on PHX to BFL
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 822 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 79.8% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 798 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PHX to BFL, every carrier
- SkyWest on BFL to PHX, the return leg
- American Airlines on PHX to BFL80.9%
- Envoy Air on PHX to BFL79.3%
- SkyWest Airlines network-wide record
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International (PHX) delay statistics
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
- How often a connection fails at the major US hubs
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.