Carrier route record

YXPHL→CVG

Republic Airways · Philadelphia to Cincinnati

Flights: 128
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 11%
Carriers: 3

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on PHL to CVG earns an A+. Nearly every flight arrives inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 17 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs close to two hours. That rests on 128 flights, with a median arrival 17 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's PHL to CVG record is 17 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 169 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

94.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 128 completed flights

Avg delay

105 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.00%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

76.9%

Every carrier on PHL to CVG, 1,184 flights

These figures cover 128 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 17 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on PHL to CVG

Republic flew 128 of the 1,184 flights on PHL to CVG, about 11% of it. Its 94.5% on time is 18 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 94.5% to PSA at 74.0%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on PHL to CVG
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	128	94.5%	105 min	0.00%	A+
American Airlinesthin sample	58	86.0%	75 min	1.72%	A
PSA Airlines	998	74.0%	93 min	3.51%	C−

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 128 flights.

5am–8am—
8am–11am62 flights95.2%
11am–2pm27 flights—
2pm–5pm39 flights97.4%
5pm–8pm—
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 85% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 2pm–5pm window is the strongest at 97.4% on time. The full set of windows spans 2 points.

Across the year

Republic on PHL to CVG through the year

Oct–Dec 202546 flights91.3%
Jan–Mar 20265 flights—
Apr–Jun 202677 flights98.7%

Scale runs 85% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 94.5% on time across 128 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on PHL to CVG logged 46 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 5 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 77 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 94.5% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 48% of the 732 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
48%
Extreme weather
33%
National Airspace System
15%
Carrier
5%

Extreme weather accounts for 33% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 5.2 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 732 reported delay minutes.

48% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 732 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 1 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit.

Cancellations are rare at 0.00%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Almost no flights are called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.3% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 507 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 91.3% on time across 128 flights, 3 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 3 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 128 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on PHL to CVG

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 128 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 94.5% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 128 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures