Carrier route record
YXPHL→CVG
Republic Airways · Philadelphia to Cincinnati
- Flights
- 128
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 10%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on PHL to CVG earns an A+. Nearly every flight arrives inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 17 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs close to two hours. That rests on 128 flights, with a median arrival 17 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's PHL to CVG record is 17 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 172 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
94.5%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 128 completed flights
Avg delay
105 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.00%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
76.6%
Every carrier on PHL to CVG, 1,321 flights
These figures cover 128 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 17 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on PHL to CVG
Republic flew 128 of the 1,321 flights on PHL to CVG, about 10% of it. Its 94.5% on time is 18 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 94.5% to PSA at 74.2%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 128 | 94.5% | 105 min | 0.00% | A+ |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 30 | 90.0% | 74 min | 0.00% | A+ |
| PSA Airlines | 1,163 | 74.2% | 96 min | 4.64% | C− |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 128 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am62 flights95.2%
- 11am–2pm27 flights—
- 2pm–5pm39 flights97.4%
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 85% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 2pm–5pm window is the strongest at 97.4% on time. The full set of windows spans 2 points.
Across the year
Republic on PHL to CVG through the year
- Oct–Dec 202546 flights91.3%
- Jan–Mar 20265 flights—
- Apr–Jun 202677 flights98.7%
Scale runs 85% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 94.5% on time across 128 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on PHL to CVG logged 46 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 5 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 77 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 94.5% annual figure is the one to use.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on PHL to CVG runs when it is late
Republic on PHL to CVG often beats the schedule: 72 of 128 completed flights, 56%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 7 late arrivals split 3 under half an hour, 1 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 3 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early72 flights56.3%
- Within 15 min49 flights38.3%
- 15–29 min late3 flights2.3%
- 30–59 min late1 flights0.8%
- 1–2 hours late1 flights0.8%
- 2+ hours late2 flights1.6%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 128 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
Only 8 of 128 completed flights left 15 minutes late or more, too few to say how often the time is made up.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on PHL to CVG
The latest arrival of the period was on 20 May 2026, 4 hours 47 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as extreme weather. Three of the five worst days fell in October 2025.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 4 hours 47 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 6 October 2025 | 4 hours 31 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 30 October 2025 | 1 hour 5 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 11 October 2025 | 42 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 17 January 2026 | 26 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 48% of the 732 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 48%Late-arriving aircraft
- 33%Extreme weather
- 15%National Airspace System
- 5%Carrier
Extreme weather accounts for 33% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 5.4 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 732 reported delay minutes.
48% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 732 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 1 to one.
Cancellations are rare at 0.00%, below the national 1.89% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Almost no flights are called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.3% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 507 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 91.3% on time across 128 flights, 3 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 3 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 128 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on PHL to CVG
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 128 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 94.5% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 128 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PHL to CVG, every carrier
- Republic on CVG to PHL, the return leg
- PSA Airlines on PHL to CVG74.2%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Philadelphia International (PHL) delay statistics
- Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International (CVG) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- How to read this site: grades, sample sizes, and honest caveats
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.