Carrier route record
YXPHL→BTV
Republic Airways · Philadelphia to Burlington
- Flights
- 162
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 15%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on PHL to BTV lands a B, 6 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 162 flights, with a median arrival 10 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's PHL to BTV record is 6 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 58 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
83.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 157 completed flights
Avg delay
80 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.23%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
78.5%
Every carrier on PHL to BTV, 1,098 flights
These figures cover 162 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on PHL to BTV
Republic flew 162 of the 1,098 flights on PHL to BTV, about 15% of it. Its 83.4% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 78.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 83.4% to American at 76.5%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 162 | 83.4% | 80 min | 1.23% | B |
| PSA Airlines | 716 | 77.9% | 95 min | 5.73% | B− |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 220 | 76.5% | 82 min | 0.91% | B+ |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 17 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am49 flights91.5%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm80 flights82.3%
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am33 flights74.2%
Scale runs 65% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 91.5% of the time, against 74.2% for the overnight window. That is 17 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 80 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on PHL to BTV through the year
- Jul–Sep 202540 flights69.2%
- Oct–Dec 202578 flights83.8%
- Apr–Jun 202644 flights95.5%
Scale runs 60% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 83.4% on time across 162 flights.
Republic on PHL to BTV did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 95.5% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 69.2%, a swing of 26 points on roughly 54 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 62% of the 2,086 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 62%Late-arriving aircraft
- 20%Carrier
- 18%National Airspace System
62% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 2,086 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 62 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 2,086 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 91.5% on time here.
Cancellations sit at 1.23% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 1.85%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
5.7% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 335 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 80.5% on time across 162 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 162 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on PHL to BTV
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 162 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 83.4% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 157 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PHL to BTV, every carrier
- Republic on BTV to PHL, the return leg
- PSA Airlines on PHL to BTV77.9%
- American Airlines on PHL to BTV76.5%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Philadelphia International (PHL) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.