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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

YXORDOMA

Republic Airways · Chicago to Omaha

Flights
170
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
6%
Carriers
6
C−GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on ORD to OMA sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 8 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 170 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Envoy Air, flew 855 at 75.8% on time.

Envoy Air is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 75.8% on time across 855 flights.

Key figures

On time

70.1%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 164 completed flights

Avg delay

66 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

3.53%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

69.3%

Every carrier on ORD to OMA, 3,022 flights

These figures cover 170 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 11.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on ORD to OMA

Republic flew 170 of the 3,022 flights on ORD to OMA, about 6% of it. Its 70.1% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 69.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number three of six carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 75.8% to American at 50.0%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Envoy Air arrives on time 75.8% of the time; SkyWest Airlines manages 63.2%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 381 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on ORD to OMA
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Envoy Air85575.8%55 min3.27%B−
United Airlines1,34870.6%65 min1.19%C
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample17070.1%66 min3.53%C−
SkyWest Airlines38163.2%83 min2.89%D
PSA Airlinesthin sample857.1%60 min12.50%D−
American Airlinesthin sample26050.0%63 min1.92%F

Envoy Air cancels 3.3% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 170 flights.

  • 5am–8am
  • 8am–11am74 flights68.1%
  • 11am–2pm10 flights
  • 2pm–5pm56 flights77.4%
  • 5pm–8pm5 flights
  • 8pm–5am25 flights

Scale runs 60% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The best window here is not the first bank but the 2pm–5pm slot at 77.4% on time, ahead of 8am–11am at 68.1%. Where the curve peaks mid-day rather than at dawn, the constraint is usually congestion at one end rather than the aircraft's own rotation. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 74 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on ORD to OMA through the year

  • Jul–Sep 202513 flights
  • Oct–Dec 202515 flights
  • Jan–Mar 2026109 flights68.9%
  • Apr–Jun 202633 flights80.6%

Scale runs 60% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 70.1% on time across 170 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on ORD to OMA logged 13 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 15 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 109 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 33 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 70.1% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 46% of the 3,219 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    46%
  • Extreme weather
    22%
  • National Airspace System
    18%
  • Carrier
    13%

Extreme weather accounts for 22% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 3.6 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 3,219 reported delay minutes.

46% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 3,219 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 2 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit.

Cancellations run at 3.53%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 11.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 416 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 2pm–5pm window matters as much as it does.

The return leg runs 72.7% on time across 170 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 170 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on ORD to OMA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.53% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 2pm–5pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 164 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.