Carrier route record
YXMSY→EWR
Republic Airways · New Orleans to Newark
- Flights
- 153
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 13%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on MSY to EWR earns an A−. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 13 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs a little over an hour. That rests on 153 flights, with a median arrival 19 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's MSY to EWR record is 13 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 130 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
90.3%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 144 completed flights
Avg delay
68 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.88%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
86.3%
Every carrier on MSY to EWR, 1,218 flights
These figures cover 153 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 19 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on MSY to EWR
Republic flew 153 of the 1,218 flights on MSY to EWR, about 13% of it. Its 90.3% on time is 4 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 86.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 90.3% to Spirit at 56.0%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 153 | 90.3% | 68 min | 5.88% | A− |
| United Airlines | 1,035 | 86.5% | 90 min | 1.93% | A |
| Frontier Airlinesthin sample | 5 | 80.0% | 15 min | 0.00% | B+ |
| Spirit Airlinesthin sample | 25 | 56.0% | 97 min | 0.00% | D+ |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 153 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am27 flights—
- 11am–2pm40 flights86.5%
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm16 flights—
- 8pm–5am70 flights93.8%
Scale runs 80% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The weak window here is the middle of the day, not the evening: 11am–2pm runs 86.5% on time against 93.8% for 8pm–5am. That shape usually means a departure bank rather than an accumulating delay, so the recovery later in the afternoon is real rather than noise. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 70 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on MSY to EWR through the year
- Jul–Sep 20251 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202553 flights86.3%
- Jan–Mar 202689 flights91.5%
- Apr–Jun 202610 flights—
Scale runs 80% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 90.3% on time across 153 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on MSY to EWR logged 1 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 53 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 89 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 10 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 90.3% annual figure is the one to use.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on MSY to EWR runs when it is late
Republic on MSY to EWR often beats the schedule: 89 of 144 completed flights, 62%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 14 late arrivals split 3 under half an hour, 5 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 6 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early89 flights61.8%
- Within 15 min41 flights28.5%
- 15–29 min late3 flights2.1%
- 30–59 min late5 flights3.5%
- 1–2 hours late4 flights2.8%
- 2+ hours late2 flights1.4%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 144 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
Only 18 of 144 completed flights left 15 minutes late or more, too few to say how often the time is made up.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on MSY to EWR
The latest arrival of the period was on 28 December 2025, 3 hours 23 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. The five worst days are spread across December, January, March and February, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 28 December 2025 | 3 hours 23 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 27 January 2026 | 2 hours 10 minutes | Carrier |
| 2 March 2026 | 1 hour 55 minutes | Carrier |
| 25 February 2026 | 1 hour 13 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 4 January 2026 | 1 hour 10 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 958 reported delay minutes.
- 40%Late-arriving aircraft
- 33%National Airspace System
- 27%Carrier
40% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 958 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 40 to one. The split is drawn from 958 reported delay minutes.
33% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 317 minutes out of 958, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 5.88%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.2% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 1,167 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg runs 89.0% on time across 153 flights, within about a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 153 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on MSY to EWR
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.88% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8pm–5am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 144 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MSY to EWR, every carrier
- Republic on EWR to MSY, the return leg
- United Airlines on MSY to EWR86.5%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Louis Armstrong New Orleans International (MSY) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.