Carrier route record

YXMSY→EWR

Republic Airways · New Orleans to Newark

Flights: 160
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 13%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on MSY to EWR earns an A−. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 13 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs a little over an hour. That rests on 160 flights, with a median arrival 19 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's MSY to EWR record is 13 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 125 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

90.1%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 151 completed flights

Avg delay

73 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.62%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

84.5%

Every carrier on MSY to EWR, 1,213 flights

These figures cover 160 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 19 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on MSY to EWR

Republic flew 160 of the 1,213 flights on MSY to EWR, about 13% of it. Its 90.1% on time is 6 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 84.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 90.1% to Spirit at 55.9%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on MSY to EWR
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	160	90.1%	73 min	5.62%	A−
United Airlines	1,014	84.6%	88 min	1.87%	B
Frontier Airlinesthin sample	5	80.0%	15 min	0.00%	B+
Spirit Airlinesthin sample	34	55.9%	105 min	0.00%	D+

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 160 flights.

5am–8am—
8am–11am27 flights—
11am–2pm40 flights86.5%
2pm–5pm—
5pm–8pm23 flights—
8pm–5am70 flights93.8%

Scale runs 80% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The weak window here is the middle of the day, not the evening: 11am–2pm runs 86.5% on time against 93.8% for 8pm–5am. That shape usually means a departure bank rather than an accumulating delay, so the recovery later in the afternoon is real rather than noise. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 70 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on MSY to EWR through the year

Jul–Sep 20258 flights—
Oct–Dec 202553 flights86.3%
Jan–Mar 202689 flights91.5%
Apr–Jun 202610 flights—

Scale runs 80% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 90.1% on time across 160 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on MSY to EWR logged 8 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 53 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 89 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 10 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 90.1% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 1,099 reported delay minutes.

National Airspace System
42%
Late-arriving aircraft
35%
Carrier
24%

35% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 1,099 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 35 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 1,099 reported delay minutes.

42% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 458 minutes out of 1,099, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 5.62%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.6% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 1,167 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 88.2% on time across 160 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 160 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on MSY to EWR

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.62% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8pm–5am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 151 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures