Carrier route record
YXEWR→MSY
Republic Airways · Newark to New Orleans
- Flights
- 160
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 13%
- Carriers
- 4
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on EWR to MSY earns an A−. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 11 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about 50 minutes. That rests on 160 flights, with a median arrival 22 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to MSY record is 11 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 106 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
88.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 152 completed flights
Avg delay
49 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.00%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
79.5%
Every carrier on EWR to MSY, 1,212 flights
These figures cover 160 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 22 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on EWR to MSY
Republic flew 160 of the 1,212 flights on EWR to MSY, about 13% of it. Its 88.2% on time is 9 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 79.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 88.2% to Spirit at 59.4%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 160 | 88.2% | 49 min | 5.00% | A− |
| Frontier Airlinesthin sample | 5 | 80.0% | 58 min | 0.00% | B+ |
| United Airlines | 1,014 | 78.8% | 73 min | 1.68% | B |
| Spirit Airlinesthin sample | 33 | 59.4% | 112 min | 3.03% | D− |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 160 flights.
- 5am–8am27 flights—
- 8am–11am41 flights92.1%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm92 flights86.4%
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 80% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The early departures do better, though not dramatically: 92.1% on time for the 8am–11am window against 86.4% for 2pm–5pm. Worth taking if the schedule allows, not worth an extra connection. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 92 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on EWR to MSY through the year
- Jul–Sep 20258 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202553 flights84.0%
- Jan–Mar 202689 flights91.7%
- Apr–Jun 202610 flights—
Scale runs 75% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 88.2% on time across 160 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on EWR to MSY logged 8 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 53 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 89 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 10 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 88.2% annual figure is the one to use.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 46% of the 889 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 46%Late-arriving aircraft
- 30%National Airspace System
- 23%Carrier
46% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 889 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 46 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 889 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 92.1% on time here.
Cancellations run at 5.00%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.6% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 1,167 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 90.1% on time across 160 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 160 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on EWR to MSY
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.00% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about 50 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 152 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- EWR to MSY, every carrier
- Republic on MSY to EWR, the return leg
- United Airlines on EWR to MSY78.8%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Louis Armstrong New Orleans International (MSY) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.