Carrier route record
YXEWR→RDU
Republic Airways · Newark to Raleigh
- Flights
- 273
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 14%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on EWR to RDU earns an A−. Nearly every flight arrives inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 17 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about 50 minutes. That rests on 273 flights, with a median arrival 16 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to RDU record is 17 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 170 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
94.3%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 261 completed flights
Avg delay
50 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
4.40%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
75.7%
Every carrier on EWR to RDU, 1,994 flights
These figures cover 273 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 16 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on EWR to RDU
Republic flew 273 of the 1,994 flights on EWR to RDU, about 14% of it. Its 94.3% on time is 19 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.7%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 94.3% to Spirit at 59.1%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 273 | 94.3% | 50 min | 4.40% | A− |
| United Airlines | 1,541 | 74.2% | 78 min | 2.66% | C |
| Spirit Airlinesthin sample | 180 | 59.1% | 70 min | 8.33% | D− |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 273 flights.
- 5am–8am14 flights—
- 8am–11am93 flights98.9%
- 11am–2pm52 flights96.2%
- 2pm–5pm113 flights90.7%
- 5pm–8pm1 flights—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 80% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 98.9% of the time, against 90.7% for the afternoon window. That is 8 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 113 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on EWR to RDU through the year
- Jul–Sep 20255 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202515 flights—
- Jan–Mar 202666 flights86.9%
- Apr–Jun 2026146 flights96.5%
- Jul–Sep 202641 flights97.3%
Scale runs 80% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 94.3% on time across 273 flights.
Republic on EWR to RDU did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2026 at 97.3% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 86.9%, a swing of 10 points on roughly 91 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Friday is the strongest day at 100.0% on time and Monday the weakest at 87.9%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on EWR to RDU runs when it is late
Republic on EWR to RDU often beats the schedule: 145 of 261 completed flights, 56%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. Most of the lateness is short. 8 of the 15 late arrivals were under half an hour behind, and 5 reached an hour or more.
- 15+ min early145 flights55.6%
- Within 15 min101 flights38.7%
- 15–29 min late8 flights3.1%
- 30–59 min late2 flights0.8%
- 1–2 hours late4 flights1.5%
- 2+ hours late1 flights0.4%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 261 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
A late pushback is often recovered here: of 23 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, 12 still arrived on time. Only 4 left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on EWR to RDU
The latest arrival of the period was on 16 March 2026, 2 hours 12 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. Three of the five worst days fell in March 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 16 March 2026 | 2 hours 12 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 11 October 2025 | 1 hour 51 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 24 March 2026 | 1 hour 29 minutes | Carrier |
| 23 March 2026 | 1 hour 27 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 3 August 2026 | 1 hour 9 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 42% of the 744 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 42%Late-arriving aircraft
- 34%Carrier
- 24%National Airspace System
42% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 744 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 42 to one. The split is drawn from 744 reported delay minutes.
The largest share of delay minutes, 34%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 255 of the 744 delay minutes reported here.
Cancellations run at 4.40%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 1.9% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
At 416 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 86.4% on time across 271 flights, 8 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 8 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 273 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on EWR to RDU
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.40% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about 50 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 261 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- EWR to RDU, every carrier
- Republic on RDU to EWR, the return leg
- United Airlines on EWR to RDU74.2%
- Spirit Airlines on EWR to RDU59.1%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Raleigh-Durham International (RDU) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.