Carrier route record
YXEWR→ORF
Republic Airways · Newark to Norfolk
- Flights
- 708
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 82%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on EWR to ORF lands a B−, 6 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 708 flights, with a median arrival 12 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to ORF record is 6 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 61 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
83.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 656 completed flights
Avg delay
55 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
7.20%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
80.3%
Every carrier on EWR to ORF, 867 flights
These figures cover 708 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 12 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on EWR to ORF
Republic flew 708 of the 867 flights on EWR to ORF, most of the route. Its 83.4% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 80.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 83.4% to United at 67.1%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 708 | 83.4% | 55 min | 7.20% | B− |
| United Airlinesthin sample | 159 | 67.1% | 59 min | 2.52% | C |
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 708 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am271 flights86.2%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm166 flights81.5%
- 5pm–8pm68 flights80.3%
- 8pm–5am203 flights82.0%
Scale runs 70% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The early departures do better, though not dramatically: 86.2% on time for the 8am–11am window against 80.3% for 5pm–8pm. Worth taking if the schedule allows, not worth an extra connection. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 271 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on EWR to ORF through the year
August is the worst month at 75.6% on time, 14 points below April, the best at 89.1%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. July was the busiest month here, with 112 flights.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 88.8% on time and Saturday the weakest at 76.8%, a spread of 12 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Republic on EWR to ORF runs when it is late
Republic on EWR to ORF often beats the schedule: 297 of 656 completed flights, 45%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 109 late arrivals split 43 under half an hour, 29 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 37 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early297 flights45.3%
- Within 15 min250 flights38.1%
- 15–29 min late43 flights6.6%
- 30–59 min late29 flights4.4%
- 1–2 hours late27 flights4.1%
- 2+ hours late10 flights1.5%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 656 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
12 of 75 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 16% of them. In the other direction, 46 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at ORF.
The worst days
Worst days for Republic on EWR to ORF
The latest arrival of the period was on 27 April 2026, 3 hours 57 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on three of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 27 April 2026 | 3 hours 57 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 5 August 2026 | 3 hours 41 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 22 June 2026 | 3 hours 31 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 21 May 2026 | 3 hours 4 minutes | Carrier |
| 3 July 2026 | 2 hours 52 minutes | Extreme weather |
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 6,000 reported delay minutes.
- 41%National Airspace System
- 37%Late-arriving aircraft
- 19%Carrier
- 4%Extreme weather
37% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 6,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 10 to one. The split is drawn from 6,000 reported delay minutes.
41% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 2,440 minutes out of 6,000, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 7.20%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
5.6% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 284 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 80.8% on time across 707 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 708 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on EWR to ORF
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 7.20% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 656 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.