Carrier route record
YXORF→EWR
Republic Airways · Norfolk to Newark
- Flights
- 542
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 71%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on ORF to EWR lands a B−, 2 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 542 flights, with a median arrival 13 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on ORF to EWR from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
79.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 510 completed flights
Avg delay
74 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.90%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
82.9%
Every carrier on ORF to EWR, 764 flights
These figures cover 542 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 13 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on ORF to EWR
Republic flew 542 of the 764 flights on ORF to EWR, most of the route. Its 79.8% on time is 3 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 82.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 90.2% to Republic at 79.8%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlinesthin sample | 222 | 90.2% | 65 min | 3.60% | A− |
| Republic Airways (this page) | 542 | 79.8% | 74 min | 5.90% | B− |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 45 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am141 flights93.3%
- 8am–11am35 flights97.1%
- 11am–2pm183 flights80.6%
- 2pm–5pm2 flights—
- 5pm–8pm132 flights67.7%
- 8pm–5am49 flights52.5%
Scale runs 45% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 52.5% on time, against 97.1% for the 8am–11am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 183 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on ORF to EWR through the year
Delays peak in October, when the on-time rate falls to 55.6%. June is the strongest month at 90.1%. Moving a flexible trip across that boundary buys 34 points. May was the busiest month here, with 98 flights.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 88.7% on time and Thursday the weakest at 75.0%. 14 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 57% of the 7,609 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 57%National Airspace System
- 29%Late-arriving aircraft
- 12%Carrier
- 2%Extreme weather
57% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 4,322 minutes out of 7,609, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 7,609 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 97.1% on time here.
Cancellations run at 5.90%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
6.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 284 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 83.1% on time across 543 flights, 3 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 3 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 542 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on ORF to EWR
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.90% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 510 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.