Carrier route record

YXBTV→DCA

Republic Airways · Burlington to Washington

Flights: 109
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 10%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on BTV to DCA sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 8 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land an hour and a half behind schedule. That rests on 109 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes early.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so Republic on BTV to DCA runs 8 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 83 extra late arrivals.

On time

69.0%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 100 completed flights

Avg delay

91 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

7.34%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

64.4%

Every carrier on BTV to DCA, 1,118 flights

These figures cover 109 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 13.0% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

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Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on BTV to DCA

Republic flew 109 of the 1,118 flights on BTV to DCA, about 10% of it. Its 69.0% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 64.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from American at 69.8% to PSA at 62.7%. Two of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on BTV to DCA
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
American Airlinesthin sample	174	69.8%	79 min	1.72%	C
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	109	69.0%	91 min	7.34%	C−
Envoy Airthin sample	4	66.7%	60 min	25.00%	C−
PSA Airlines	831	62.7%	121 min	5.42%	D−

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 10 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

5am–8am45 flights75.6%
8am–11am5 flights—
11am–2pm5 flights—
2pm–5pm—
5pm–8pm54 flights65.3%
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 55% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 75.6% of the time, against 65.3% for the evening window. That is 10 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 54 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on BTV to DCA through the year

Oct–Dec 202514 flights—
Jan–Mar 202663 flights74.1%
Jul–Sep 202632 flights—

Scale runs 65% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 69.0% on time across 109 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on BTV to DCA logged 14 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 63 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 32 flights in Jul–Sep 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 69.0% annual figure is the one to use.

Arrival by arrival

How late Republic on BTV to DCA runs when it is late

Republic on BTV to DCA often beats the schedule: 36 of 100 completed flights, 36%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 31 late arrivals split 7 under half an hour, 11 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 13 an hour or more.

15+ min early36 flights36.0%
Within 15 min33 flights33.0%
15–29 min late7 flights7.0%
30–59 min late11 flights11.0%
1–2 hours late6 flights6.0%
2+ hours late7 flights7.0%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 100 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

4 of 26 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 15% of them. In the other direction, 9 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at DCA.

The worst days

Worst days for Republic on BTV to DCA

The latest arrival of the period was on 20 February 2026, 6 hours 58 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. Three of the five worst days fell in February 2026.

The latest arrivals of Republic on BTV to DCA in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
20 February 2026	6 hours 58 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
18 January 2026	4 hours 20 minutes	Carrier
5 March 2026	4 hours 15 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
27 February 2026	3 hours 51 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
25 February 2026	3 hours 30 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 43% of the 2,833 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

Late-arriving aircraft
43%
National Airspace System
30%
Carrier
15%
Extreme weather
12%

Extreme weather accounts for 12% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.0 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 2,833 reported delay minutes.

43% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 2,833 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 4 to one.

Cancellations run at 7.34%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

13.0% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 437 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 73.3% on time across 109 flights, 4 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 4 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 109 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on BTV to DCA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 7.34% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you an hour and a half; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 100 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures