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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

YXBNA→EWR

Republic Airways · Nashville to Newark

Flights
354
Period
September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route
19%
Carriers
3
B−GRADE

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on BNA to EWR lands a B−, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 354 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on BNA to EWR from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

Key figures

On time

76.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 332 completed flights

Avg delay

63 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

6.21%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

75.0%

Every carrier on BNA to EWR, 1,883 flights

These figures cover 354 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

Fare search by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on BNA to EWR

Republic flew 354 of the 1,883 flights on BNA to EWR, about 19% of it. Its 76.5% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 76.5% to Spirit at 52.0%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on BNA to EWR
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample35476.5%63 min6.21%B−
United Airlines1,47875.4%89 min2.44%B
Spirit Airlinesthin sample5152.0%83 min1.96%F

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 29 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

  • 5am–8am30 flights96.7%
  • 8am–11am5 flights—
  • 11am–2pm90 flights82.0%
  • 2pm–5pm155 flights67.6%
  • 5pm–8pm19 flights—
  • 8pm–5am55 flights85.7%

Scale runs 60% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 96.7% of the time, against 67.6% for the afternoon window. That is 29 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 155 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on BNA to EWR through the year

  • Jul–Sep 202515 flights—
  • Oct–Dec 2025157 flights72.4%
  • Jan–Mar 202698 flights73.0%
  • Apr–Jun 202683 flights87.8%
  • Jul–Sep 20261 flights—

Scale runs 65% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 76.5% on time across 354 flights.

Republic on BNA to EWR did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 87.8% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 72.4%, a swing of 15 points on roughly 118 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 87.5% on time and Thursday the weakest at 64.3%, a spread of 23 points.

On-time rate by day of the week73.3Mon85.7Tue87.5Wed64.3Thu80.4Fri76.6Sat67.5Sun
Monday: 73.3 percent on time. Tuesday: 85.7 percent on time. Wednesday: 87.5 percent on time. Thursday: 64.3 percent on time. Friday: 80.4 percent on time. Saturday: 76.6 percent on time. Sunday: 67.5 percent on time

Arrival by arrival

How late Republic on BNA to EWR runs when it is late

Republic on BNA to EWR often beats the schedule: 145 of 332 completed flights, 44%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 78 late arrivals split 21 under half an hour, 24 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 33 an hour or more.

  • 15+ min early145 flights43.7%
  • Within 15 min109 flights32.8%
  • 15–29 min late21 flights6.3%
  • 30–59 min late24 flights7.2%
  • 1–2 hours late23 flights6.9%
  • 2+ hours late10 flights3.0%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 332 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

14 of 79 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. 13 flights left on time and still arrived late.

The worst days

Worst days for Republic on BNA to EWR

The latest arrival of the period was on 30 October 2025, 3 hours 55 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The five worst days are spread across October, June and February, with no single month standing out.

The latest arrivals of Republic on BNA to EWR in the period
DateArrived late byLargest filed cause
30 October 20253 hours 55 minutesLate-arriving aircraft
23 June 20263 hours 17 minutesLate-arriving aircraft
14 June 20263 hours 8 minutesNational Airspace System
28 February 20262 hours 45 minutesCarrier
26 October 20252 hours 33 minutesNational Airspace System

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

National Airspace System accounts for 51% of the 4,921 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

  • National Airspace System
    51%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    34%
  • Carrier
    14%
  • Extreme weather
    1%

34% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 4,921 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 30 to one. The split is drawn from 4,921 reported delay minutes.

51% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 2,505 minutes out of 4,921, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations run at 6.21%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

9.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 748 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg runs 78.1% on time across 354 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 354 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on BNA to EWR

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.21% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 332 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.