Carrier route record
YXBNA→EWR
Republic Airways · Nashville to Newark
- Flights
- 396
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 21%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on BNA to EWR sits in the middle of the pack with a B−. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 2 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 396 flights, with a median arrival 12 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on BNA to EWR from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
75.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 373 completed flights
Avg delay
65 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.81%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
75.0%
Every carrier on BNA to EWR, 1,868 flights
These figures cover 396 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 10.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on BNA to EWR
Republic flew 396 of the 1,868 flights on BNA to EWR, about 21% of it. Its 75.9% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 75.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 76.0% to Spirit at 52.6%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 1,391 | 76.0% | 90 min | 2.30% | B |
| Republic Airways (this page) | 396 | 75.9% | 65 min | 5.81% | B− |
| Spirit Airlinesthin sample | 81 | 52.6% | 94 min | 3.70% | F− |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 34 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am30 flights96.7%
- 8am–11am14 flights—
- 11am–2pm97 flights81.2%
- 2pm–5pm154 flights67.4%
- 5pm–8pm46 flights62.8%
- 8pm–5am55 flights85.7%
Scale runs 55% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 62.8% on time, against 96.7% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 154 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on BNA to EWR through the year
- Jul–Sep 202558 flights71.9%
- Oct–Dec 2025157 flights72.4%
- Jan–Mar 202698 flights73.0%
- Apr–Jun 202683 flights87.8%
Scale runs 65% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 75.9% on time across 396 flights.
Republic on BNA to EWR did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 87.8% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 71.9%, a swing of 16 points on roughly 99 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 86.0% on time and Thursday the weakest at 63.0%. 23 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 51% of the 5,825 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 51%National Airspace System
- 36%Late-arriving aircraft
- 12%Carrier
- 1%Extreme weather
36% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 5,825 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 36 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 5,825 reported delay minutes.
51% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 2,982 minutes out of 5,825, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 5.81%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 10.2% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 748 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 78.4% on time across 396 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 396 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on BNA to EWR
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.81% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 373 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- BNA to EWR, every carrier
- Republic on EWR to BNA, the return leg
- United Airlines on BNA to EWR76.0%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Nashville International (BNA) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.