Carrier route record
YXEWR→BNA
Republic Airways · Newark to Nashville
- Flights
- 396
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 21%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on EWR to BNA lands a B−, about a point better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by roughly 50 minutes on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 396 flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on EWR to BNA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
78.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 375 completed flights
Avg delay
52 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
5.30%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
75.5%
Every carrier on EWR to BNA, 1,867 flights
These figures cover 396 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 7 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on EWR to BNA
Republic flew 396 of the 1,867 flights on EWR to BNA, about 21% of it. Its 78.4% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 75.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 78.4% to Spirit at 67.9%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways (this page) | 396 | 78.4% | 52 min | 5.30% | B− |
| United Airlines | 1,390 | 75.1% | 68 min | 2.30% | B |
| Spirit Airlinesthin sample | 81 | 67.9% | 92 min | 3.70% | C− |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 17 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am2 flights—
- 8am–11am109 flights84.1%
- 11am–2pm111 flights83.0%
- 2pm–5pm93 flights75.3%
- 5pm–8pm81 flights67.5%
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 60% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 84.1% of the time, against 67.5% for the evening window. That is 17 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 111 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Republic on EWR to BNA through the year
December is the weak month at 57.6% on time, against 96.7% in April. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. October was the busiest month here, with 66 flights.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 86.3% on time and Sunday the weakest at 71.1%. 15 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 44% of the 4,212 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 44%National Airspace System
- 25%Carrier
- 21%Late-arriving aircraft
- 10%Extreme weather
44% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,833 minutes out of 4,212, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 4,212 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations run at 5.30%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
6.4% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last roughly 50 minutes, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 748 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 75.9% on time across 396 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 396 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on EWR to BNA
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.30% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you roughly 50 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 8am–11am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 375 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- EWR to BNA, every carrier
- Republic on BNA to EWR, the return leg
- United Airlines on EWR to BNA75.1%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Nashville International (BNA) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.