Carrier route record

YXEWR→BNA

Republic Airways · Newark to Nashville

Flights: 354
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 19%
Carriers: 3

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on EWR to BNA lands a B−, about a point better than the national rate of 77.3%. Roughly one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by roughly 45 minutes on average. That rests on 354 flights, with a median arrival 7 minutes early.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Republic on EWR to BNA from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

78.1%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 334 completed flights

Avg delay

47 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.65%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

74.1%

Every carrier on EWR to BNA, 1,882 flights

These figures cover 354 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 7 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

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Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on EWR to BNA

Republic flew 354 of the 1,882 flights on EWR to BNA, about 19% of it. Its 78.1% on time is 4 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 74.1%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 78.1% to Spirit at 72.5%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on EWR to BNA
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	354	78.1%	47 min	5.65%	B−
United Airlines	1,477	73.2%	72 min	2.84%	C
Spirit Airlinesthin sample	51	72.5%	102 min	0.00%	C+

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 17 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

5am–8am—
8am–11am95 flights82.8%
11am–2pm112 flights83.2%
2pm–5pm68 flights76.9%
5pm–8pm79 flights66.7%
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 60% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The best window here is not the first bank but the 11am–2pm slot at 83.2% on time, ahead of 5pm–8pm at 66.7%. Where the curve peaks mid-day rather than at dawn, the constraint is usually congestion at one end rather than the aircraft's own rotation. The 11am–2pm window is the busiest, with 112 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on EWR to BNA through the year

Jul–Sep 202516 flights—
Oct–Dec 2025157 flights67.8%
Jan–Mar 202697 flights86.5%
Apr–Jun 202683 flights86.6%
Jul–Sep 20261 flights—

Scale runs 60% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 78.1% on time across 354 flights.

Republic on EWR to BNA did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 86.6% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 67.8%, a swing of 19 points on roughly 118 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 84.4% on time and Sunday the weakest at 73.2%, a spread of 11 points.

Arrival by arrival

How late Republic on EWR to BNA runs when it is late

Republic on EWR to BNA often beats the schedule: 120 of 334 completed flights, 36%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 73 late arrivals split 31 under half an hour, 24 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 18 an hour or more.

15+ min early120 flights35.9%
Within 15 min141 flights42.2%
15–29 min late31 flights9.3%
30–59 min late24 flights7.2%
1–2 hours late13 flights3.9%
2+ hours late5 flights1.5%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 334 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

8 of 44 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. In the other direction, 37 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at BNA.

The worst days

Worst days for Republic on EWR to BNA

The latest arrival of the period was on 23 June 2026, 3 hours 11 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. The same cause led on three of the five worst days.

The latest arrivals of Republic on EWR to BNA in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
23 June 2026	3 hours 11 minutes	National Airspace System
30 November 2025	2 hours 44 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
7 March 2026	2 hours 25 minutes	Extreme weather
30 October 2025	2 hours 21 minutes	National Airspace System
2 December 2025	2 hours 14 minutes	National Airspace System

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

National Airspace System accounts for 51% of the 3,407 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

National Airspace System
51%
Carrier
25%
Late-arriving aircraft
21%
Extreme weather
4%

51% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,722 minutes out of 3,407, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 3,407 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations run at 5.65%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

5.4% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last roughly 45 minutes, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 748 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg runs 76.5% on time across 354 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 354 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on EWR to BNA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 5.65% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you roughly 45 minutes; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 11am–2pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 334 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures