Carrier route record

F9BDL→MCO

Frontier Airlines · Hartford to Orlando

Flights: 227
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 12%
Carriers: 3

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Frontier Airlines.

Frontier on BDL to MCO sits in the middle of the pack with a C. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 8 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land close to two hours behind schedule. That rests on 227 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Southwest Airlines, flew 640 at 78.3% on time.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so Frontier on BDL to MCO runs 8 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 81 extra late arrivals.

On time

69.2%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 221 completed flights

Avg delay

104 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

2.64%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

73.3%

Every carrier on BDL to MCO, 1,869 flights

These figures cover 227 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 15.8% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

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Carrier by carrier

Frontier against every carrier on BDL to MCO

Frontier flew 227 of the 1,869 flights on BDL to MCO, about 12% of it. Its 69.2% on time is 4 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 73.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Southwest at 78.3% to Frontier at 69.2%.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Southwest Airlines arrives on time 78.3% of the time; JetBlue Airways manages 71.0%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 1,002 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on BDL to MCO
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Southwest Airlines	640	78.3%	61 min	1.09%	B
JetBlue Airways	1,002	71.0%	75 min	2.50%	C
Frontier Airlines (this page)thin sample	227	69.2%	104 min	2.64%	C

Southwest leads JetBlue by 7 points. Real, but small enough that a better departure time on the weaker carrier can outweigh it.

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Departure window

When Frontier runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 227 flights.

5am–8am—
8am–11am13 flights—
11am–2pm76 flights73.3%
2pm–5pm9 flights—
5pm–8pm32 flights67.7%
8pm–5am97 flights65.6%

Scale runs 55% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The best window here is not the first bank but the 11am–2pm slot at 73.3% on time, ahead of 8pm–5am at 65.6%. Where the curve peaks mid-day rather than at dawn, the constraint is usually congestion at one end rather than the aircraft's own rotation. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 97 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Frontier on BDL to MCO through the year

Jul–Sep 202512 flights—
Oct–Dec 202539 flights76.9%
Jan–Mar 202672 flights67.6%
Apr–Jun 202663 flights67.7%
Jul–Sep 202641 flights60.0%

Scale runs 50% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 69.2% on time across 227 flights.

Frontier on BDL to MCO did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 76.9% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2026 at 60.0%, a swing of 17 points on roughly 57 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Friday is the strongest day at 78.7% on time and Sunday the weakest at 52.8%, a spread of 26 points.

Arrival by arrival

How late Frontier on BDL to MCO runs when it is late

Frontier on BDL to MCO often beats the schedule: 83 of 221 completed flights, 38%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. When Frontier on BDL to MCO is late it tends to be very late: 35 of its 68 late arrivals were an hour or more behind, and 20 were two hours or more.

15+ min early83 flights37.6%
Within 15 min70 flights31.7%
15–29 min late14 flights6.3%
30–59 min late19 flights8.6%
1–2 hours late15 flights6.8%
2+ hours late20 flights9.0%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 221 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

16 of 72 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 22% of them. In the other direction, 12 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at MCO.

The worst days

Worst days for Frontier on BDL to MCO

The latest arrival of the period was on 26 April 2026, 12 hours 41 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. Four of the five worst days fell in April 2026.

The latest arrivals of Frontier on BDL to MCO in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
26 April 2026	12 hours 41 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
6 April 2026	12 hours 13 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
13 April 2026	5 hours 32 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
1 April 2026	4 hours 20 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
6 October 2025	4 hours 9 minutes	Extreme weather

Delay causes

Why Frontier runs late on this route

Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 78% of the 7,065 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

Late-arriving aircraft
78%
National Airspace System
12%
Carrier
7%
Extreme weather
3%

78% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 7,065 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 24 to one. The split is drawn from 7,065 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations run at 2.64%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 40 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

15.8% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 1,050 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 73.2% on time across 227 flights, 4 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 4 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 227 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Frontier on BDL to MCO

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 227 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 69.2% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 221 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures