Carrier route record
F9MCO→BDL
Frontier Airlines · Orlando to Hartford
- Flights
- 227
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 12%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Frontier Airlines.
Frontier on MCO to BDL sits in the middle of the pack with a C. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land close to two hours behind schedule. That rests on 227 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, JetBlue Airways, flew 1,000 at 70.9% on time.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so Frontier on MCO to BDL runs 4 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 41 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
73.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 220 completed flights
Avg delay
105 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.64%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
71.0%
Every carrier on MCO to BDL, 1,867 flights
These figures cover 227 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 14.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Frontier against every carrier on MCO to BDL
Frontier flew 227 of the 1,867 flights on MCO to BDL, about 12% of it. Its 73.2% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 71.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Frontier at 73.2% to Southwest at 70.5%.
The two carriers here are closely matched: half a point separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines (this page)thin sample | 227 | 73.2% | 105 min | 2.64% | C |
| JetBlue Airways | 1,000 | 70.9% | 76 min | 2.30% | C |
| Southwest Airlines | 640 | 70.5% | 58 min | 1.72% | C |
No carrier stands out. JetBlue tops the table at 70.9%, half a point clear of the bottom, which is inside the range this kind of sample moves year to year.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Frontier runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 20 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am29 flights—
- 8am–11am64 flights84.4%
- 11am–2pm5 flights—
- 2pm–5pm89 flights64.3%
- 5pm–8pm40 flights64.1%
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 64.1% on time, against 84.4% for the 8am–11am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 89 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Frontier on MCO to BDL through the year
- Jul–Sep 202512 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202539 flights84.2%
- Jan–Mar 202672 flights64.7%
- Apr–Jun 202663 flights71.0%
- Jul–Sep 202641 flights77.5%
Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 73.2% on time across 227 flights.
Frontier on MCO to BDL did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 84.2% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 64.7%, a swing of 20 points on roughly 57 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Friday is the strongest day at 87.2% on time and Sunday the weakest at 58.3%, a spread of 29 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Frontier on MCO to BDL runs when it is late
Frontier on MCO to BDL often beats the schedule: 63 of 220 completed flights, 29%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. When Frontier on MCO to BDL is late it tends to be very late: 32 of its 59 late arrivals were an hour or more behind, and 15 were two hours or more.
- 15+ min early63 flights28.6%
- Within 15 min98 flights44.5%
- 15–29 min late14 flights6.4%
- 30–59 min late13 flights5.9%
- 1–2 hours late17 flights7.7%
- 2+ hours late15 flights6.8%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 220 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
7 of 52 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 13% of them. In the other direction, 14 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at BDL.
The worst days
Worst days for Frontier on MCO to BDL
The latest arrival of the period was on 26 April 2026, 12 hours 53 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). Four of the five worst days fell in April 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 26 April 2026 | 12 hours 53 minutes | Carrier |
| 6 April 2026 | 11 hours 58 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 13 April 2026 | 5 hours 50 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 1 April 2026 | 4 hours 9 minutes | Carrier |
| 31 July 2026 | 3 hours 58 minutes | National Airspace System |
Delay causes
Why Frontier runs late on this route
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 49% of the 6,201 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 49%Late-arriving aircraft
- 34%Carrier
- 16%National Airspace System
- 1%Extreme weather
49% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 6,201 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 37 to one. The split is drawn from 6,201 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 84.4% on time here.
Cancellations run at 2.64%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in 40 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
14.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 1,050 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 69.2% on time across 227 flights, 4 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 4 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 227 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Frontier on MCO to BDL
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 227 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 73.2% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 220 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to BDL, every carrier
- Frontier on BDL to MCO, the return leg
- JetBlue Airways on MCO to BDL70.9%
- Southwest Airlines on MCO to BDL70.5%
- Frontier Airlines network-wide record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.