Flight number record
DL 2654
Delta Air Lines · Atlanta to Minneapolis
- Route
- ATL → MSP
- Departs
- 17:59
- Flights
- 351
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s DL 2654, check with Delta Air Lines.
DL 2654 sits in the middle of the pack with a C+. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 5 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 351 flights, with a median arrival 1 minute early.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so DL 2654 runs 5 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 47 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
72.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 351 completed flights
Avg delay
60 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.00%
National rate is 1.81%
1 hour+ late
8.8%
National rate is 8.1%
These figures cover 351 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.8% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Schedule
When DL 2654 flies
DL 2654 flies ATL to MSP without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 17:59, used on 65 of 351 flights, with 17:00 (59 flights) and 16:45 (41 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.
- Departs 17:5965 flights18.5%
- Departs 17:0059 flights16.8%
- Departs 16:4541 flights11.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 17:59 departure sits in the 5pm–8pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 68.2%, and DL 2654 runs 5 points better at 72.9%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.
Against the route
DL 2654 next to ATL to MSP
Every carrier on ATL to MSP combined arrived on time 81.2% of the time across 3,524 flights, so DL 2654 is 8 points behind it. Delta flew 3,221 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 82.1% on time. Across its whole network Delta Air Lines managed 81.6%, which this flight trails by 9 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL 2654thin sample | 351 | 72.9% | 60 min | 0.00% | C+ |
| All Delta Air Lines on ATL–MSP | 3,221 | 82.1% | 56 min | 0.37% | B+ |
| All carriers on ATL–MSP | 3,524 | 81.2% | 57 min | 0.48% | B+ |
| Delta Air Lines, whole network | 1,038,570 | 81.6% | 71 min | 1.62% | B |
Across the year
DL 2654 quarter by quarter
DL 2654 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 76.7% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 66.3%, a swing of 10 points on roughly 88 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202592 flights66.3%
- Oct–Dec 202578 flights75.6%
- Jan–Mar 202690 flights76.7%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights73.6%
Scale runs 60% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, DL 2654 did best on Wednesday at 86.3% on time and worst on Sunday at 60.8%. Each day rests on about 50 flights, so a gap of 26 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Delay causes
Why DL 2654 runs late
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 5,699 reported delay minutes.
- 39%Carrier
- 24%Late-arriving aircraft
- 20%National Airspace System
- 17%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 17% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the quarterly figures above are the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.7 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 5,699 delay minutes reported on DL 2654.
Cancellations are rare at 0.00%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Almost no flights are called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
8.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 907 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
Every one of the 351 flights under DL 2654 in the data flew ATL to MSP. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 351 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking DL 2654
For a booking, DL 2654 is one of the weaker ways to fly ATL to MSP: 8 points below the route as a whole. If the schedule allows, compare it with the other departures listed on the route page before settling on this one.
Related
Where to go next
- ATL to MSP, every carrier and departure
- MSP to ATL, the return direction
- Delta Air Lines 1310 on the same route78.5%
- Delta Air Lines 2901 on the same route86.5%
- Delta Air Lines 2668 on the same route91.9%
- Delta Air Lines 2825 on the same route85.1%
- Delta Air Lines 2981 on the same route73.8%
- Delta Air Lines 1280 on the same route69.4%
- Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International (ATL) delay statistics
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Delta Air Lines on-time record
- Every Delta Air Lines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.04 million flight records
A flight number here means Delta Air Lines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.