Flight number record
AA 2844
American Airlines · Phoenix to Jacksonville
- Route
- PHX → JAX
- Departs
- 15:59
- Flights
- 292
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 2844, check with American Airlines.
AA 2844 sits in the middle of the pack with a C+. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 292 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes early.
Key figures
On time
73.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 290 completed flights
Avg delay
58 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.34%
National rate is 1.81%
1 hour+ late
7.9%
National rate is 8.1%
These figures cover 292 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 5 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Schedule
When AA 2844 flies
AA 2844 flies PHX to JAX without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 15:59, used on 49 of 292 flights, with 15:46 (44 flights) and 17:10 (30 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.
- Departs 15:5949 flights16.8%
- Departs 15:4644 flights15.1%
- Departs 17:1030 flights10.3%
Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 15:59 departure sits in the 2pm–5pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 72.4%, and AA 2844 runs level with that at 73.8%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.
Against the route
AA 2844 next to PHX to JAX
Every carrier on PHX to JAX combined arrived on time 74.6% of the time across 318 flights, so AA 2844 is about level with it. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.4%, close to this flight's figure.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA 2844thin sample | 292 | 73.8% | 58 min | 0.34% | C+ |
| All American Airlines on PHX–JAXthin sample | 318 | 74.6% | 59 min | 0.63% | C+ |
| All carriers on PHX–JAXthin sample | 318 | 74.6% | 59 min | 0.63% | C+ |
| American Airlines, whole network | 986,297 | 74.4% | 85 min | 2.29% | C |
Across the year
AA 2844 quarter by quarter
AA 2844 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 78.6% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 67.3%, a swing of 11 points on roughly 73 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202565 flights78.1%
- Oct–Dec 202590 flights70.0%
- Jan–Mar 202652 flights67.3%
- Apr–Jun 202685 flights78.6%
Scale runs 60% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, AA 2844 did best on Saturday at 81.6% on time and worst on Sunday at 63.8%. Each day rests on about 42 flights, so a gap of 18 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Delay causes
Why AA 2844 runs late
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 64% of the 4,380 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 64%Late-arriving aircraft
- 26%Carrier
- 11%National Airspace System
64% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 4,380 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 64 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 4,380 delay minutes reported on AA 2844.
Cancellations are rare at 0.34%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
7.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 1,785 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
Every one of the 292 flights under AA 2844 in the data flew PHX to JAX. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 292 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AA 2844
For a booking, read AA 2844 as 73.8% on time with 0.34% cancelled over 292 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.
Related
Where to go next
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International (PHX) delay statistics
- American Airlines on-time record
- Every American Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.