Flight number record
AA 2829
American Airlines · New York to Phoenix
- Route
- JFK → PHX
- Departs
- 12:29
- Flights
- 362
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 2829, check with American Airlines.
AA 2829 lands a B, 3 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That rests on 362 flights, with a median arrival 12 minutes early.
Key figures
On time
80.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 353 completed flights
Avg delay
81 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.21%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
5.9%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 362 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 12 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Schedule
When AA 2829 flies
AA 2829 flies JFK to PHX without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 12:29, used on 131 of 362 flights, with 13:30 (61 flights) and 12:52 (42 flights) next.
- Departs 12:29131 flights36.2%
- Departs 13:3061 flights16.9%
- Departs 12:5242 flights11.6%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 12:29 departure sits in the 11am–2pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 78.3%, and AA 2829 runs level with that at 80.2%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.
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Against the route
AA 2829 next to JFK to PHX
Every carrier on JFK to PHX combined arrived on time 76.2% of the time across 3,097 flights, so AA 2829 is 4 points ahead of it. American flew 1,647 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 79.3% on time. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.7%, which this flight beats by 6 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA 2829thin sample | 362 | 80.2% | 81 min | 2.21% | B |
| All American Airlines on JFK–PHX | 1,647 | 79.3% | 97 min | 2.67% | B |
| All carriers on JFK–PHX | 3,097 | 76.2% | 78 min | 3.26% | B− |
| American Airlines, whole network | 988,892 | 74.7% | 85 min | 2.14% | C |
Across the year
AA 2829 quarter by quarter
AA 2829 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 86.8% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2026 at 73.3%, a swing of 14 points on roughly 91 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202589 flights73.9%
- Jan–Mar 202690 flights81.2%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights86.8%
- Jul–Sep 202662 flights73.3%
Scale runs 65% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, AA 2829 did best on Tuesday at 86.0% on time and worst on Friday at 72.5%. Each day rests on about 52 flights, so a gap of 14 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Arrival by arrival
How late AA 2829 runs when it is late
AA 2829 often beats the schedule: 152 of 353 completed flights, 43%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 70 late arrivals split 20 under half an hour, 29 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 21 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early152 flights43.1%
- Within 15 min131 flights37.1%
- 15–29 min late20 flights5.7%
- 30–59 min late29 flights8.2%
- 1–2 hours late9 flights2.5%
- 2+ hours late12 flights3.4%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 353 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
18 of 73 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 25% of them. 15 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for AA 2829
The latest arrival of the period was on 10 November 2025, 7 hours 49 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on four of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 10 November 2025 | 7 hours 49 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 8 August 2026 | 6 hours 44 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 24 September 2025 | 6 hours 29 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 24 January 2026 | 5 hours 11 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 6 January 2026 | 5 hours 3 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why AA 2829 runs late
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 55% of the 5,632 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 55%Late-arriving aircraft
- 24%National Airspace System
- 20%Carrier
- 1%Extreme weather
55% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 5,632 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 37 to one. The split is drawn from 5,632 delay minutes reported on AA 2829.
Cancellations sit at 2.21% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.28%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
5.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 2,153 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
Every one of the 362 flights under AA 2829 in the data flew JFK to PHX. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 362 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AA 2829
For a booking, read AA 2829 as 80.2% on time with 2.21% cancelled over 362 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.
Related
Where to go next
- JFK to PHX, every carrier and departure
- PHX to JFK, the return direction
- Delta Air Lines 791 on the same route81.4%
- Delta Air Lines 798 on the same route69.4%
- John F. Kennedy International (JFK) delay statistics
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International (PHX) delay statistics
- American Airlines on-time record
- Every American Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.