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DelayAtlas

Route reliability record

TVCDTW

Traverse City to Detroit

Flights
1,079
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Distance
207 mi
Carriers
2
BGRADE

This route lands a B, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by an hour and a half on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 1,079 TVC to DTW flights, of which Delta Air Lines flew 378 at 81.9% on time.

Best time to fly TVC to DTW: a 8am–11am departure, ideally on a Sunday. Flights in that window arrived on time 92.4% of the time and Sunday flights 79.9%, against 76.4% for the route overall.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

Key figures

On time

76.4%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,053 completed flights

Avg delay

91 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

2.32%

National rate is 1.81%

Best carrier

Delta

81.9% on time across 378 flights

These figures cover 1,079 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 10.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Which airline is most reliable on TVC to DTW

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 81.9% of the time; SkyWest Airlines manages 73.4%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 701 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on TVC to DTW
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Delta Air Lines37881.9%76 min2.12%B
SkyWest Airlines70173.4%97 min2.43%C

Delta leads SkyWest by 9 points. Real, but small enough that a better departure time on the weaker carrier can outweigh it.

Flight by flight

Flights on TVC to DTW

The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.

Best ways to make this trip

The most reliable ways to fly Traverse City to Detroit

Every airline on this route, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time, with its best departure time and most punctual flight number. No nearby airport pair beat these.

Most reliable ways to fly from TVC to DTW
OptionAirlineSuccessOn timeCancelledBest departureMost punctual flight
1. TVCDTWTraverse City to DetroitDelta Air Lines80.2%81.9%2.12%5am–8am, MonDL 2292 06:00
2. TVCDTWTraverse City to DetroitSkyWest Airlines71.6%73.4%2.43%8am–11am, Sun

Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.

Plan this trip by month, day and time

Departure window

The best time of day to leave

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 24 points, against 9 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am365 flights82.4%
  • 8am–11am118 flights92.4%
  • 11am–2pm182 flights70.5%
  • 2pm–5pm81 flights72.5%
  • 5pm–8pm333 flights68.0%
  • 8pm–5am

Scale runs 60% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Book the morning departure. Flights leaving between 8am–11am arrive on time 92.4% of the time, against 68.0% for the evening window. That is 24 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 365 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

When delays peak on this route

This route's year swings by 49 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.

On-time rate by calendar month48J65F66M89A92M86J80J81A94S85O80N45D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.September best, December worst

December is the weak month at 45.1% on time, against 93.7% in September. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. July was the busiest month here, with 119 flights.

Across the week, Sunday is the strongest day at 79.9% on time and Saturday the weakest at 73.3%. 7 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week78.1Mon76.4Tue75.2Wed77.3Thu74.1Fri73.3Sat79.9Sun
Monday: 78.1 percent on time. Tuesday: 76.4 percent on time. Wednesday: 75.2 percent on time. Thursday: 77.3 percent on time. Friday: 74.1 percent on time. Saturday: 73.3 percent on time. Sunday: 79.9 percent on time

Delay causes

Why this route gets delayed

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 59% of the 23,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Carrier
    59%
  • Extreme weather
    25%
  • National Airspace System
    15%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    1%

Extreme weather accounts for 25% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 4.0 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 22,728 reported delay minutes.

The largest share of delay minutes, 59%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 14,000 of the 23,000 delay minutes reported here.

Cancellations sit at 2.32% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.09%.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here actually costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 10.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 207 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 8am–11am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg runs 75.9% on time across 1,079 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 1,079 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

Work out the risk of missing a connection in DTW after this flight

What to do with this

Booking this route

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 1,079 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 76.4% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 1,053 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Common questions

TVC to DTW questions

How often is TVC to DTW delayed?

About one flight in four arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 23.6% of the 1,079 flights in this analysis, against 22.4% nationally. Delayed flights are late by an hour and a half on average.

Which airline is most reliable on TVC to DTW?

Delta Air Lines leads at 81.9% on time across 378 flights. SkyWest Airlines is at the other end on 73.4%, a gap of 9 points. Sample size matters as much as the percentage: a rate built from a few hundred flights moves around far more than one built from ten thousand.

What time of day has the fewest delays on TVC to DTW?

The 8am–11am departure window is the strongest at 92.4% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 68.0%, 24 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.

How bad are December delays on TVC to DTW?

December is the weakest month at 45.1% on time, compared with 93.7% in September. Across the year that is 49 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.

Related

Where to go next

Direction matters. TVC to DTW and DTW to TVC are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.

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Paste this into a web page. The badge shows the current on-time rate, cancellation rate and grade, and updates every month. Preview it, or build a badge for another route or airport.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.