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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

UASEASFO

United Airlines · Seattle to San Francisco

Flights
2,040
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
30%
Carriers
5
C+GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with United Airlines.

United on SEA to SFO draws a C+. About one flight in three arrives at least 15 minutes late, and the typical late arrival is a little over an hour behind schedule. Build slack into anything you connect to. That rests on 2,040 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, SkyWest Airlines, flew 1,081 at 75.4% on time.

SkyWest Airlines is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 75.4% on time across 1,081 flights.

Key figures

On time

66.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 2,020 completed flights

Avg delay

71 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.83%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

65.6%

Every carrier on SEA to SFO, 6,764 flights

These figures cover 2,040 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 12.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

United against every carrier on SEA to SFO

United flew 2,040 of the 6,764 flights on SEA to SFO, about 30% of it. Its 66.5% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 65.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number four of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Southwest at 100.0% to Alaska at 60.3%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. SkyWest Airlines arrives on time 75.4% of the time; Alaska Airlines manages 60.3%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 2,716 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on SEA to SFO
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Southwest Airlinesthin sample4100.0%0.00%A+
SkyWest Airlines1,08175.4%53 min1.02%B
Delta Air Lines92367.3%56 min1.63%C
United Airlines (this page)2,04066.5%71 min0.83%C+
Alaska Airlines2,71660.3%52 min1.40%D

The spread between SkyWest and Alaska is 15 points, wide enough that it should decide the booking. On a hundred trips that is 15 more arrivals inside the on-time window.

Flight by flight

United flight numbers on SEA to SFO

Departure window

When United runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 38 points, against 15 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am395 flights68.6%
  • 8am–11am338 flights51.2%
  • 11am–2pm385 flights72.8%
  • 2pm–5pm245 flights88.8%
  • 5pm–8pm677 flights61.4%
  • 8pm–5am

Scale runs 45% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The best window here is not the first bank but the 2pm–5pm slot at 88.8% on time, ahead of 8am–11am at 51.2%. Where the curve peaks mid-day rather than at dawn, the constraint is usually congestion at one end rather than the aircraft's own rotation. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 677 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

United on SEA to SFO through the year

On-time rate by calendar month78J78F84M38A35M30J76J80A85S77O75N70D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.September best, June worst

June is the worst month at 29.5% on time, 55 points below September, the best at 84.7%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. July was the busiest month here, with 198 flights.

Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 76.4% on time and Friday the weakest at 60.5%. 16 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week60.7Mon76.4Tue65.8Wed63.9Thu60.5Fri74.8Sat65.9Sun
Monday: 60.7 percent on time. Tuesday: 76.4 percent on time. Wednesday: 65.8 percent on time. Thursday: 63.9 percent on time. Friday: 60.5 percent on time. Saturday: 74.8 percent on time. Sunday: 65.9 percent on time

Delay causes

Why United runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 59% of the 48,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • National Airspace System
    59%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    23%
  • Carrier
    16%
  • Extreme weather
    2%

59% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 28,000 minutes out of 48,000, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 48,052 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations are rare at 0.83%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 12.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

The 679 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 75.8% on time across 2,042 flights, 9 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 9 points of difference.

The sample behind these figures is 2,040 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking United on SEA to SFO

Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. September runs 84.7% on time and June 29.5%, a swing of 55 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of June before you think about anything else. 2,020 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.