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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

ASSEA→BNA

Alaska Airlines · Seattle to Nashville

Flights
845
Period
September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route
57%
Carriers
3
B+GRADE

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Alaska Airlines.

Alaska on SEA to BNA lands a B+, 5 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about 45 minutes on average. That rests on 845 flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, Alaska's SEA to BNA record is 5 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 48 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

Key figures

On time

82.1%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 836 completed flights

Avg delay

44 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.95%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

80.6%

Every carrier on SEA to BNA, 1,481 flights

These figures cover 845 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 8 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Fare search by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Carrier by carrier

Alaska against every carrier on SEA to BNA

Alaska flew 845 of the 1,481 flights on SEA to BNA, most of the route. Its 82.1% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 80.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 83.0% to Southwest at 60.0%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on SEA to BNA
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Delta Air Lines51683.0%61 min0.97%B+
Alaska Airlines (this page)84582.1%44 min0.95%B+
Southwest Airlinesthin sample12060.0%39 min0.00%D+

Flight by flight

Alaska flight numbers on SEA to BNA

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Alaska runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 27 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.

  • 5am–8am—
  • 8am–11am329 flights84.7%
  • 11am–2pm31 flights58.1%
  • 2pm–5pm—
  • 5pm–8pm280 flights80.4%
  • 8pm–5am205 flights83.7%

Scale runs 50% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The weak window here is the middle of the day, not the evening: 11am–2pm runs 58.1% on time against 84.7% for 8am–11am. That shape usually means a departure bank rather than an accumulating delay, so the recovery later in the afternoon is real rather than noise. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 329 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Alaska on SEA to BNA through the year

On-time rate by calendar month77J88F90M88A80M89J74J82A82S81O80N78D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.March best, July worst

July is the worst month at 73.9% on time, 16 points below March, the best at 89.8%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. July was the busiest month here, with 92 flights.

Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 86.7% on time and Thursday the weakest at 77.4%, a spread of 9 points.

On-time rate by day of the week81.6Mon81.0Tue86.7Wed77.4Thu82.7Fri85.8Sat80.0Sun
Monday: 81.6 percent on time. Tuesday: 81.0 percent on time. Wednesday: 86.7 percent on time. Thursday: 77.4 percent on time. Friday: 82.7 percent on time. Saturday: 85.8 percent on time. Sunday: 80.0 percent on time

Arrival by arrival

How late Alaska on SEA to BNA runs when it is late

Alaska on SEA to BNA often beats the schedule: 286 of 836 completed flights, 34%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 150 late arrivals split 61 under half an hour, 61 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 28 an hour or more.

  • 15+ min early286 flights34.2%
  • Within 15 min400 flights47.8%
  • 15–29 min late61 flights7.3%
  • 30–59 min late61 flights7.3%
  • 1–2 hours late22 flights2.6%
  • 2+ hours late6 flights0.7%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 836 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

A late pushback is often recovered here: of 173 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, 57 still arrived on time. 34 flights left on time and still arrived late.

The worst days

Worst days for Alaska on SEA to BNA

The latest arrival of the period was on 3 September 2025, 3 hours 44 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. The five worst days are spread across September, March, July and August, with no single month standing out.

The latest arrivals of Alaska on SEA to BNA in the period
DateArrived late byLargest filed cause
3 September 20253 hours 44 minutesNational Airspace System
13 March 20263 hours 30 minutesExtreme weather
24 July 20263 hours 28 minutesCarrier
2 August 20262 hours 58 minutesCarrier
16 July 20262 hours 49 minutesLate-arriving aircraft

Delay causes

Why Alaska runs late on this route

Carrier accounts for 46% of the 6,628 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

  • Carrier
    46%
  • National Airspace System
    27%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    24%
  • Extreme weather
    4%

The largest share of delay minutes, 46%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 3,037 of the 6,628 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 6,628 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations sit at 0.95% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.12%.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.3% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

At 1,978 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 72.7% on time across 845 flights, 9 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 9 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 845 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Alaska on SEA to BNA

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 845 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 82.1% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 836 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.