Carrier route record
YXORD→TVC
Republic Airways · Chicago to Traverse City
- Flights
- 479
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 18%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on ORD to TVC sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 7 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 479 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, PSA Airlines, flew 377 at 67.6% on time.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so Republic on ORD to TVC runs 7 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 65 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
71.1%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 456 completed flights
Avg delay
77 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
4.38%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
66.8%
Every carrier on ORD to TVC, 2,617 flights
These figures cover 479 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 10.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on ORD to TVC
Republic flew 479 of the 2,617 flights on ORD to TVC, about 18% of it. Its 71.1% on time is 4 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 66.8%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 80.5% to United at 62.8%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The three carriers here are closely matched: 5 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Airthin sample | 189 | 80.5% | 60 min | 2.12% | B |
| Republic Airways (this page) | 479 | 71.1% | 77 min | 4.38% | C− |
| PSA Airlines | 377 | 67.6% | 103 min | 8.22% | C− |
| SkyWest Airlines | 1,115 | 64.0% | 107 min | 5.29% | D− |
| United Airlines | 457 | 62.8% | 79 min | 2.41% | D |
PSA Airlines cancels 8.2% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 11 points, against 5 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am12 flights—
- 11am–2pm83 flights74.1%
- 2pm–5pm41 flights65.0%
- 5pm–8pm183 flights76.1%
- 8pm–5am160 flights66.2%
Scale runs 55% to 80%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is the strongest at 76.1% on time. The full set of windows spans 11 points.
Across the year
Republic on ORD to TVC through the year
January is the weak month at 55.9% on time, against 94.3% in October. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. May was the busiest month here, with 97 flights.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 77.5% on time and Sunday the weakest at 64.3%. 13 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 10,000 reported delay minutes.
- 38%Late-arriving aircraft
- 27%Carrier
- 20%National Airspace System
- 15%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 15% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.4 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 10,180 reported delay minutes.
38% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 10,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 3 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit.
Cancellations run at 4.38%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 10.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
At 224 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5pm–8pm window matters as much as it does.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 80.9% on time across 478 flights, 10 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 10 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 479 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on ORD to TVC
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 4.38% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5pm–8pm departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 456 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- ORD to TVC, every carrier
- Republic on TVC to ORD, the return leg
- Envoy Air on ORD to TVC80.5%
- PSA Airlines on ORD to TVC67.6%
- SkyWest Airlines on ORD to TVC64.0%
- United Airlines on ORD to TVC62.8%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.