Carrier route record

YXORD→ELP

Republic Airways · Chicago to El Paso

Flights: 126
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 17%
Carriers: 5

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on ORD to ELP earns an A+. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 10 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs a little over an hour. That rests on 126 flights, with a median arrival 21 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's ORD to ELP record is 10 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 96 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

87.2%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 125 completed flights

Avg delay

75 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.79%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

70.9%

Every carrier on ORD to ELP, 723 flights

These figures cover 126 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 21 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on ORD to ELP

Republic flew 126 of the 723 flights on ORD to ELP, about 17% of it. Its 87.2% on time is 16 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 70.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 87.2% to United at 0.0%. Four of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on ORD to ELP
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	126	87.2%	75 min	0.79%	A+
Envoy Airthin sample	292	70.8%	62 min	1.03%	C
SkyWest Airlinesthin sample	258	69.2%	84 min	3.49%	C−
American Airlinesthin sample	45	37.2%	60 min	4.44%	F−
United Airlinesthin sample	2	0.0%	36 min	0.00%	F+

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 126 flights.

There are not enough flights in each departure window to split Republic's ORD to ELP record by time of day without the percentages moving on noise. The headline rate of 87.2% is the reliable figure here.

Across the year

Republic on ORD to ELP through the year

Jul–Sep 202512 flights—
Jan–Mar 202685 flights89.4%
Apr–Jun 202629 flights—

Scale runs 80% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 87.2% on time across 126 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on ORD to ELP logged 12 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 85 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 29 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 87.2% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 46% of the 1,198 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
46%
National Airspace System
31%
Carrier
17%
Extreme weather
5%

46% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 1,198 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 9 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 1,198 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 8am–11am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 87.7% on time here.

Cancellations are rare at 0.79%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

5.6% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 1,236 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 84.8% on time across 126 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on ORD to ELP

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 87.2% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 125 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures