Carrier route record
YXELP→ORD
Republic Airways · El Paso to Chicago
- Flights
- 126
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 17%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.
Republic on ELP to ORD earns a B+. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 7 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs close to two hours. That rests on 126 flights, with a median arrival 13 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Republic's ELP to ORD record is 7 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 72 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
84.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 125 completed flights
Avg delay
119 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.79%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
82.7%
Every carrier on ELP to ORD, 726 flights
These figures cover 126 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.8% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Republic against every carrier on ELP to ORD
Republic flew 126 of the 726 flights on ELP to ORD, about 17% of it. Its 84.8% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 82.7%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number three of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from American at 88.4% to United at 0.0%. Four of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlinesthin sample | 45 | 88.4% | 99 min | 4.44% | A− |
| Envoy Airthin sample | 291 | 87.5% | 48 min | 0.69% | A+ |
| Republic Airways (this page)thin sample | 126 | 84.8% | 119 min | 0.79% | B+ |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 262 | 76.0% | 60 min | 2.29% | B |
| United Airlinesthin sample | 2 | 0.0% | 30 min | 0.00% | F+ |
Departure window
When Republic runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 126 flights.
There are not enough flights in each departure window to split Republic's ELP to ORD record by time of day without the percentages moving on noise. The headline rate of 84.8% is the reliable figure here.
Across the year
Republic on ELP to ORD through the year
- Jul–Sep 202512 flights—
- Jan–Mar 202685 flights87.1%
- Apr–Jun 202629 flights—
Scale runs 80% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 84.8% on time across 126 flights.
Split by quarter, Republic on ELP to ORD logged 12 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 85 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 29 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 84.8% annual figure is the one to use.
Delay causes
Why Republic runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 50% of the 2,261 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 50%National Airspace System
- 34%Late-arriving aircraft
- 16%Carrier
50% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,139 minutes out of 2,261, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 2,261 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations are rare at 0.79%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
8.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last close to two hours, which a normal layover absorbs.
The 1,236 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg runs 87.2% on time across 126 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Republic on ELP to ORD
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 126 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 84.8% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 125 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- ELP to ORD, every carrier
- Republic on ORD to ELP, the return leg
- Envoy Air on ELP to ORD87.5%
- SkyWest Airlines on ELP to ORD76.0%
- Republic Airways network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- Connecting flights: how much buffer the data says you need
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.