Carrier route record
MQMSP→ORD
Envoy Air · Minneapolis to Chicago
- Flights
- 1,084
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 17%
- Carriers
- 8
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Envoy Air.
Envoy on MSP to ORD sits in the middle of the pack with a C. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 1,084 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Republic Airways, flew 532 at 76.1% on time.
Republic Airways is the most reliable of the four carriers covered here at 76.1% on time across 532 flights.
Key figures
On time
74.0%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,051 completed flights
Avg delay
72 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.86%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
69.9%
Every carrier on MSP to ORD, 6,324 flights
These figures cover 1,084 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 11.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
Envoy against every carrier on MSP to ORD
Envoy flew 1,084 of the 6,324 flights on MSP to ORD, about 17% of it. Its 74.0% on time is 4 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 69.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of eight carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 76.1% to Frontier at 41.7%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Republic Airways arrives on time 76.1% of the time; Delta Air Lines manages 67.3%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 1,412 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways | 532 | 76.1% | 87 min | 6.58% | B− |
| Envoy Air (this page) | 1,084 | 74.0% | 72 min | 2.86% | C |
| United Airlines | 2,398 | 69.7% | 84 min | 1.38% | C |
| SkyWest Airlines | 704 | 67.6% | 93 min | 3.41% | C− |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,412 | 67.3% | 66 min | 1.84% | C |
| American Airlinesthin sample | 138 | 65.0% | 128 min | 0.72% | C+ |
| PSA Airlinesthin sample | 43 | 54.8% | 79 min | 2.33% | F |
| Frontier Airlinesthin sample | 13 | 41.7% | 85 min | 7.69% | F− |
Republic Airways cancels 6.6% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Departure window
When Envoy runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 31 points, against 9 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am401 flights84.5%
- 8am–11am135 flights75.9%
- 11am–2pm168 flights78.3%
- 2pm–5pm109 flights76.9%
- 5pm–8pm271 flights53.3%
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 45% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 53.3% on time, against 84.5% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 401 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Envoy on MSP to ORD through the year
December is the weak month at 44.7% on time, against 93.3% in May. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. April was the busiest month here, with 135 flights.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 78.7% on time and Thursday the weakest at 69.6%. 9 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Envoy runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 20,000 reported delay minutes.
- 34%National Airspace System
- 34%Late-arriving aircraft
- 19%Carrier
- 13%Extreme weather
Extreme weather accounts for 13% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.1 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 19,583 reported delay minutes.
34% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 6,629 minutes out of 20,000, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations run at 2.86%, against 1.81% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 11.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
At 334 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 74.2% on time across 1,084 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 1,084 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Envoy on MSP to ORD
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 2.86% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,051 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to ORD, every carrier
- Envoy on ORD to MSP, the return leg
- Republic Airways on MSP to ORD76.1%
- United Airlines on MSP to ORD69.7%
- SkyWest Airlines on MSP to ORD67.6%
- Delta Air Lines on MSP to ORD67.3%
- American Airlines on MSP to ORD65.0%
- Envoy Air network-wide record
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.